Neil Lazar RYC/Vet ROC

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, September 22, 2018 at 8:00 AM

New Haven, CT - New Haven, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SIEGEL Elliot 100% 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 3%
2 LEE Daniel C. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
3 IVARSSON Oliver 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
3 FRITZ Ayden R. 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
5 WU Jerry 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 1%
6 BATRAK Alexander 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
7 LIAO Alex J. 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2%
8 HOWARD Michael 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
9 HOWARD Alexander 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 17%
10 HOWELL Thomas A. 100% 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1%
11 SCHULTES Evans 100% 98% 82% 49% 17% 2%
12 NAGER Noah 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
13 BREIER Matthew F. 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
14 SPOSATO Luke B. 100% 99% 88% 57% 19% 1%
15 WAN Jason 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
16 REILLY Brandon 100% 82% 39% 7% 1% -
17 KWON Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
18 HEMINGWAY Liam 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% -
19 RAMIREZ Daniel A. 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.