Falcon Cup 2022

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 10:00 AM

North Hall Community Center & Park, - Athens, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BLAND Ian 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 15%
2 ZHANG Eric 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
3 LIU Dylan 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
3 AWAN Saqlain 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 35% 8%
5 BIRT David 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
6 WANG Maxwell 100% 100% 94% 64% 20%
7 DULISSE ALeX 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
8 SWARTZ Emile 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
9 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
10 GUDAPATI Rahul 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
11 MODULLA Yathin 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
12 O€™CONNOR Riley 100% 100% 100% 94% 65% 24% 3%
13 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 51% 13%
14 ATON Dave 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 37% 9%
15 SAKO Ayrton (A.J.) 100% 98% 87% 60% 29% 8% 1%
16 RACHEL Dylan 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 2%
17 CHENG Ava 100% 100% 98% 90% 68% 35% 9%
18 SCHULZ Annie 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 15%
19 CHANG Shane 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
20 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
21 CARR Gavin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
22 NGUYEN Audrey 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
23 MOON Nicole 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
24 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
25 KRIEGER Jack 100% 97% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
25 LIN Kason 100% 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
27 EVANS Grant 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
28 GUNDUBOGULA Raj 100% 100% 83% 37% 6%
29 KOKA Ashwin 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
30 PULLEN Ayah 100% 99% 86% 48% 13% 2% -
31 TUCKER Evan 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 17% 2%
32 PATIL Amulya 100% 98% 88% 63% 30% 8% 1%
33 TURK Reggie 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
34 MERRITT Frederick 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 7%
35 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 81% 40% 10% 1%
36 KUMAR Anusha 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
36 JUNG Joshua 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
38 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 98% 85% 56% 25% 6% 1%
39 ROBINSON Blake 100% 91% 56% 17% 3% - -
40 SU Rui 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
41 NIEMAN Brent 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
42 SOTTILE Cole 100% 94% 70% 37% 12% 2% -
43 LEE Daehyeon 100% 66% 18% 1% -
44 KIM Eugenia 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
45 LE Kevin 100% 97% 81% 51% 20% 5% -
46 LEVERETT-HALL Corrina 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
47 JACKSON Viktoria 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
48 WANG Andy 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
49 BOHM Madi 100% 71% 20% 2% - - -
50 MACKEVICIUS Nykolas 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 23% 4%
51 MOSS Riley 100% 58% 13% 1% - - -
52 WYBLE Sierra 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
53 YU Olivia 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% - -
53 WILEY Morgan 100% 65% 23% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.