Falcon Cup 2022

Div III Men's Épée

Saturday, March 19, 2022 at 1:30 PM

North Hall Community Center & Park, - Athens, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DULISSE ALeX 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 33%
2 BIRT David 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
3 CHANG Shane 100% 99% 92% 58% 10%
3 HUDSON Tyler 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
5 LIU Dylan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
6 JAAFAR Hamza 100% 84% 42% 10% 1% < 1%
7 WILLIAMS Eli 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
8 MERRITT Frederick 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 3%
9 LIN Kason 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
10 LE Kevin 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
11 WANG Bryan 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 11%
12 KOKA Ashwin 100% 90% 53% 16% 2% -
13 SOTTILE Cole 100% 81% 34% 6% -
14 TUCKER Evan 100% 91% 60% 22% 3%
15 SCHERNIKAU Jack 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
16 WANG Andy 100% 86% 48% 14% 2% -
17 MACKEVICIUS Nykolas 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
18 SU Rui 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
19 JUNG Joshua 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
20 ASBY Will 100% 95% 71% 33% 7%
21 ROBINSON Blake 100% 73% 27% 4% -
22 MCDANIEL Eamon 100% 98% 82% 43% 9% 1%
23 BOGART Drake 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
24 DUCK Parker 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
25 EICHEL Carl 100% 94% 64% 22% 2%
26 FRYE Jordan 100% 93% 56% 11% 1%
27 MILLER Aidan 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
28 JOHNSON Alex 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.