IFC 2022 Winter Classic

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 9:45 AM

Indianapolis Fencing Club - Indianapolis, IN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 TODREAS Simon 100% 99% 89% 53% 13%
2 PRABHAKAR Vibhav 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
3 SWANSON Dave 100% 97% 77% 39% 8%
3 THOMAS Samuel 100% 100% 97% 74% 22%
5 RIGAZZI Ottavia 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
6 VELINOV Gabriel 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
7 CRONIN Darragh 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
8 EVERHART Ryan 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
9 CHO Jeremy 100% 99% 87% 55% 16%
10 MILLER Lance W. 100% 94% 68% 28% 5%
11 GUILFORD Corey 100% 98% 74% 30% 3%
12 REED Allen 100% 98% 80% 44% 13% 2%
13 PRIJATEL John R. 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2%
14 MENTELE Caden 100% 67% 24% 4% -
15 RIPLEY Ian 100% 93% 63% 23% 4% -
16 SOARE Maria Elena 100% 97% 76% 33% 5%
17 HALLMAN Blake 100% 76% 23% 3% -
18 ARMBRUSTER David 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
19 THRASHER Andrew W. 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9%
20 MACEY Hadley 100% 88% 46% 9% 1%
21 CARTER Miranda 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
22 NELSON Grace E. 100% 92% 59% 22% 4% -
23 STOCK Olivia 100% 83% 44% 12% 1%
24 CRAPNELL Daniel 100% 82% 42% 11% 1%
25 ORGAN Jason 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
26 ORGAN Drew 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% -
28 CLARK Julian 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.