USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Junior Women's Saber

Sunday, July 3, 2022 at 1:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
3 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
3 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
6 LIU Sophie 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
7 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
8 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
9 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
10 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 83%
11 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
12 CARVALHO Isabela A. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
13 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 19%
14 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 2%
15 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
16 DHAR Aamina 100% 90% 56% 20% 3% -
17 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4%
18 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
19 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
20 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
21 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 39% 3%
22 NEWELL Alexia C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10%
23 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
24 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
25 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
25 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
27 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
28 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
29 NI Sharon 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
30 GHAYALOD Reya 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
31 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5% -
32 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
33 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
34 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 20%
35 LU Amy 100% 98% 84% 48% 13% 1%
36 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
37 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
38 XIAO julie 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 7% -
39 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26% 2%
40 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
41 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
42 SUN Alyssa 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 7% -
43 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 7%
43 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 9%
45 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 14%
46 PEDRAZA Regina 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
47 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
48 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 23% 2%
48 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 12% 1%
50 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 82% 43% 12% 2% -
51 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 14% 1%
52 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
53 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
54 NATH Trisha 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
55 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 25%
56 JEONG Katie 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
57 CHIANG Emily 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 1%
58 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 75% 30% 6% - -
59 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
59 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 5%
61 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
62 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 12% 1%
63 CHEN Ashley 100% 99% 92% 65% 27% 4% -
64 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 16%
65 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
66 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
67 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 97% 76% 38% 9% 1%
68 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
69 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
70 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 97% 79% 44% 13% 2% -
71 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
72 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% 1%
73 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
74 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
75 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12% -
76 DANK Dina 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
77 LU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
78 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 13% 1%
79 NEIBART Fiona 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 6% -
80 HE Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 5%
81 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 25% 4%
82 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
83 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 92% 65% 25% 3%
84 KER Grace 100% 99% 93% 66% 26% 3%
85 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% -
86 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
87 FESTA Carina 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% -
88 ZHENG Valentina 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% -
89 XI Shining 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
90 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 8%
91 LI Angela 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
92 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 2%
93 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
93 TONG Jessie 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
95 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
96 HUNG Anna 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 5% -
97 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 79% 37% 10% 1% - -
98 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
99 LEE Lauren 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
100 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 1% -
101 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 11% 1%
102 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 29% 5%
103 YANG Lea 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
104 CHIN Elise 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -
104 NGUYEN Ella 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
106 YOUNG Audrey 100% 92% 49% 13% 2% - -
107 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 98% 83% 44% 12% 2% -
108 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 97% 78% 39% 10% 1%
109 LEE Sophia 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
110 YUAN Greta 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 3%
111 MARYASH Samantha 100% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
112 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
113 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
114 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 97% 78% 39% 9% 1%
115 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% 1%
116 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 98% 79% 42% 12% 2% -
116 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1%
118 ZENG Megan 100% 97% 68% 26% 5% - -
119 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 7%
119 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
121 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
122 LIAO Siwen 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
123 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
124 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
125 GRAFF Sophie 100% 97% 80% 45% 15% 2% -
126 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 98% 81% 43% 12% 1% -
127 NGUYEN Siena 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
128 WU Helen 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 3% -
129 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 17%
130 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
131 HOLMES Emma 100% 98% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
132 SINHA Anika 100% 100% 92% 63% 25% 4% -
133 KHAN Alissa 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 3% -
134 ZHANG Victoria 100% 88% 54% 19% 4% - -
135 INMAN Kaitlyn 100% 13% 1% - - - -
136 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
137 SCHICK Veronica 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
138 HU Michelle 100% 98% 72% 32% 8% 1% -
139 HSU Mia Y. 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
140 YEN Natalie 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
141 SIDDIQUI Reem 100% 95% 55% 17% 3% - -
142 LUKER Sophia 100% 98% 84% 46% 13% 1%
143 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
144 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 68% 22% 3% - -
145 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
146 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 71% 27% 5% - -
147 LIU Yifei 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
148 BAKER Audrey C. 100% 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
149 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 100% 95% 65% 26% 5% -
150 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
151 SOWERS Lia 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
151 HUANG Madeline 100% 94% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
153 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 91% 49% 13% 2% - -
154 CHIANG Melissa 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
155 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 99% 73% 31% 7% 1% -
156 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 95% 37% 7% 1% - -
157 BENOIT Adelaide L. 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
158 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 97% 80% 44% 14% 2% -
159 FREY Sarah E. 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
160 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 69% 26% 5% - -
160 ISBERG Natalie 100% 79% 36% 8% 1% -
162 OBRADOVIC Ana 100% 78% 34% 7% 1% -
162 CHO Michelle 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
164 WANG Zidan 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
165 MANN Sophia J. 100% 93% 60% 22% 4% - -
166 SIMONIAN Olivia A. 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
167 IYER Arushi 100% 24% 3% - - - -
167 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 83% 43% 13% 2% - -
169 RODGERS Rachel 100% 20% 1% - - - -
170 SHEN Jamie 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
170 FANG sophie 100% 70% 24% 4% - - -
170 GONTARSKI Rachel 100% 39% 6% - - - -
173 CHEN Celina Z. 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
174 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
175 KELLY Ella 100% 6% - - - - -
176 TUNG Renee 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
176 LIN Grace 100% 14% 1% - - - -
176 LIN Lauren 100% 33% 5% - - - -
176 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
176 SAWANT Asmi 100% 22% 2% - - - -
181 GOSAVI Aabolee 100% 30% 3% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.