USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I Men's Saber

Monday, July 4, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MORRILL William 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
2 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
3 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 19%
3 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
5 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
6 ANDREEV Ilia 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
7 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
8 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 36%
9 VIDOVSZKY Robert T. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
10 ZU Kevin 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
11 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 5%
12 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 48%
13 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 YEN Darren 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
15 LINSKY Matthew 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
16 HONG Vincent Q. 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
17 YUN Jaesun 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
18 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 7%
19 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
19 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
21 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 97% 85% 58% 24% 5%
22 FIELDS Malcolm D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
23 LIMB Matthew G. 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 6%
24 DENNER Lysander H. 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
25 BOOTH Zaheer 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
26 BIERNACKI Maciej L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
27 LAI Adam J. 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
28 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
29 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
30 CHAN Matthew 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
31 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
32 HUSSAIN Faaris 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
33 MOON Sean H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
34 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 11%
34 REN Junming 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11%
36 BUERGENTHAL Aaron P. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
37 HOLZ Daniel 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
38 LEE Justin 100% 97% 77% 41% 13% 2% -
39 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11%
40 WILSON Jude 100% 98% 88% 61% 29% 8% 1%
41 BOLTON Braydon A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 8%
42 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
43 HAN Daniel Y. 100% 92% 59% 19% 3% - -
44 BIVINS III George A. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
45 WILLIAMS Nolan E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
46 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
47 KIM Stephen E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
48 LIM William J. 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
49 FERNANDEZ Rodrigo 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
50 ATTIG Will T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
50 DODRILL Grant 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
52 LUKASHENKO Darii 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
53 MEHTA Sachin N. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
54 CHOU Stephen C. 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
55 HARVEY Nicholas J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
56 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
57 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
58 KIM Shaun M. 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
59 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
60 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
61 WOODWARD Dylan P. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
62 NADILE Henry V. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
63 TANN Justin 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
64 LO Joshua H. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
65 ZIELINSKI Nicholaus M. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 13% 2%
66 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2%
67 WANG Eric Y. 100% 96% 74% 36% 9% 1%
68 SIMAK Joseph P. 100% 98% 87% 61% 28% 7% 1%
69 LEE Aydan J. 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% - -
70 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
71 MICHELL Bailey 100% 99% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
72 MULLENNIX Ethan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 44%
72 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
74 BERGER Oliver 100% 99% 91% 70% 37% 11% 1%
75 WOODWARD Connor 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
76 XU William 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
77 LE Hayden 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% -
78 PARK Justin W. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
79 STATEN-LUSTY Silas J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
80 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
81 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
82 MERCHANT Marcel J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 36% 8%
83 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 93% 67% 33% 10% 2% -
83 DENG Andrew 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
85 BERMAN Luca 100% 94% 72% 39% 13% 2% -
86 BAE Jason I. 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
87 KOTOV Leonid 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
88 YANG Richard 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% -
89 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 88% 53% 19% 4% - -
90 OH Triton 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
91 XUE ALEXANDER 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
92 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
93 STONE Esmond A. 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
94 LIU kelly 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
95 VOCHOSKA Aidan F. 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
96 YOUNG Nash 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
96 MARGULIES William 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
98 WANG Charles 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
99 MORRILL Justin 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
100 NIL Michael Y. 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3%
101 HOLZ William A. 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% -
102 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 77% 37% 10% 1% -
103 PAN Jerry 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
104 FALLICK Ozzie 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
105 NOBLE Colin 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
106 KUSHKOV Simon O. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 26% 4%
107 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
108 YANG Ziyi 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
109 YUN Jake 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
110 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 7%
111 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
112 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 98% 87% 58% 26% 6% 1%
112 REN Richard 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
114 GHAYALOD Ansh 100% 95% 76% 44% 16% 3% -
115 POPE Nico 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
116 SAKHAMURI Surya 100% 98% 84% 48% 14% 1%
117 RAI Avin 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
117 BRAR Sanjeet 100% 83% 42% 11% 1% -
119 YEN Preston 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
120 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 3%
121 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1%
122 NOBLE Daniel 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
123 HO Kaden M. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
123 JIANG Anthony 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
125 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% -
126 CHIN Matthew W. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
127 FREYRE DE ANDRADE Elian R. 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
128 WIND Nicky E. 100% 99% 90% 65% 32% 9% 1%
129 HONG Rubin 100% 66% 23% 4% - - -
130 CHON Taylor A. 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 7% 1%
131 CHOI Silas 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
132 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% - -
133 TONG ZACHARY 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
134 FENG Leo 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
134 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
136 DIACOS Jordan 100% 97% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
137 BULL Anderson 100% 91% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
137 SCHARDINE James 100% 72% 27% 4% - - -
139 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 80% 36% 7% 1% - -
140 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
141 WONG Ryan 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
142 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% -
143 KIM Matthew 100% 84% 42% 12% 2% - -
144 GRATHWOL-SEAR Oliver 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.