Event Results
USA Fencing National Championships & July ChallengeSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | RUNYAN Joshua | V V D V V | V V V V | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 2 | CRETEN joachim | D D V D D | V V V V D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 3 | HECK Steven D. | V V V V D | V V D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 3 | KOPYLOV Dmitri | V V V V V | V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 5 | BUKOWSKI Todd | V V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 6 | LUNDBORG Mark R. | V V D V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 7 | MYERS Brent M. | V V D D V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 8 | GRAINGER Robert | D D V V D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 9 | SRERE Mark A. | V V V V V | D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 10 | ANTHONY Jr Donald K. | V V V D D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 11 | CHAMBERS Thomas J. | V D V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 12 | LEAR Donald W. | D V D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 13 | PARAGANO Vincent | D D D D V | D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 13 | SU Ji | D D D V D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 15 | KEEFER Philip E. | D D D D V | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 16 | VOELZ Jim | D D D D V | V D | 0.7 | 1 | +0.3 |
| 17 | BLAIR III Ray H. | D D V D D | D | 1.3 | 1 | -0.3 |
| 18 | MITCHELL Matthew D. | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |