USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div I-A Women's Foil

Tuesday, July 5, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 15%
2 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
3 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
3 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
5 BIASCO Anna 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 49%
6 MILLER Naomi E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
7 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
8 LI Rachel Y. 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
9 CASTANEDA Erika L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 15%
10 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 14%
11 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24%
12 YU Lauren C. 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 24% 4%
13 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 2%
14 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
15 LIAO Lu Jia (Lucy) 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
16 ZHAO Aileen Y. 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1%
17 KONG Olivia 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
18 SHAW Kayla M. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
19 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 12% 1%
20 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 7%
21 KHOO Lauren A. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
22 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 7%
23 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 93% 64% 23% 3%
24 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 62% 22%
25 FERNANDES Thea 100% 98% 87% 60% 28% 7% 1%
26 SUN Emily 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
27 MEI Sarah 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% 1%
28 DUAN Konnie 100% 99% 88% 58% 24% 5% -
29 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
30 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
31 SHIH Diane 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
32 CHO Gracie L. 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
33 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
34 DAVIA Daniella V. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
35 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
36 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
37 SEAL Julie T. 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
38 LAMBERT Mahala 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 9% 1%
39 BOLES Sophia 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
40 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
41 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 81% 43% 13% 2% - -
42 PAHLAVI Dahlia 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
43 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 27%
44 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
45 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
46 KOROL Dana 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
47 BATRA Chaahat 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5%
48 ACHILOVA Feyza 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5%
49 MASSICK Laine 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
50 FERRETTI Anna Rebecca 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1%
51 QIAN Zhiyan 100% 94% 57% 19% 3% - -
52 TOLBERT Zoe 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1%
53 WU Julianna Y. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
54 PENG Amber L. 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
55 FUNG Emma 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 2% -
56 LI Sophia M. 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
57 LEE Ariana 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
58 ZHENG Julie 100% 87% 53% 18% 3% -
59 TALWALKAR Apoorva 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% -
60 COSTELLO Angeline S. 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
61 ASCHETTINO Aurora 100% 95% 63% 24% 4% - -
62 XIANG Emma 100% 99% 89% 62% 29% 7% 1%
63 SHENG Chuxi 100% 97% 78% 40% 11% 1% -
64 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
65 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
66 ZHANG Selena 100% 52% 12% 1% - -
67 COKER Bettina M. 100% 94% 72% 38% 12% 2% -
68 DU Hannah 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
69 SHITAMOTO Audrey F. 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
70 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 6% 1%
71 WEBB Ella 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
72 YIN Helen 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% -
73 HSIUNG Samantha 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% -
74 COOPER Piper W. 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
75 HAN Crystal 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
76 HSIEH Rebecca 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% 1% -
77 LIU Siyuan 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
78 RUSSELL Judith F. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
79 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
80 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 56% 17% 3% - - -
81 DING Abigail 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
82 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
83 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
84 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 30% 3% - - - -
85 RECKLING Kathleen A. 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
85 PARK Leah 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.