USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Men's Saber

Thursday, July 7, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
2 STURN Oliver - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
3 KIM Shaun M. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
3 GONZALEZ Emilio A. - - - 1% 11% 40% 48%
5 CHOI Silas - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
6 HOLZ Daniel - - - 1% 11% 39% 48%
7 CHEONG Heonjun - - 1% 5% 21% 44% 30%
8 SHIRPAL Oleksandr - - - 2% 12% 39% 47%
9 KWALWASSER Eric - - 3% 12% 29% 36% 18%
10 MICLAUS Justin - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
11 SHOMAN Zachary - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
11 LIM William J. - - - 4% 21% 44% 30%
13 BROU Inkosi - - 3% 16% 35% 35% 11%
14 WANG Robert - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
15 MCCARTHY Gabriel - - 3% 12% 29% 37% 20%
16 PI Alexander - 1% 6% 23% 40% 26% 4%
17 YANG Dylan - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 16%
18 GAO Albert - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 22%
19 BABAYEV Gabriel A. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
20 ZHENG Edward L. - - 1% 5% 20% 42% 33%
21 KUMAR Sachit - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
22 HUANG Alex F. - - - 4% 20% 45% 31%
23 LEE Aydan J. - - - 2% 14% 48% 36%
24 KROON Lucas - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
25 ZHANG Derek - - - 4% 19% 44% 33%
26 FELDMAN Drew - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 6%
27 QIU Nathan - - - 5% 23% 46% 25%
28 CHTERENTAL Alex - - 2% 11% 30% 39% 18%
29 COOK Cole - - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
30 PASTORE LIU Vince - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
31 CRAIG Samuel - 1% 10% 33% 39% 15% 2%
32 ZHOU James Y. 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
33 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 1% 7% 33% 59%
33 PATRICO Peter - - 4% 17% 36% 34% 9%
35 WANG Nicolas - - - 2% 14% 41% 42%
35 ZENG Noah - - - 4% 18% 42% 35%
37 LIN Daniel - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
38 HU Christopher - - 1% 8% 28% 42% 20%
39 RAMANAN Jaisimh - 1% 5% 20% 37% 31% 7%
40 GAO Marcus 2% 11% 27% 32% 20% 6% 1%
41 PATIL Aaryan A. - - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
42 SHOMAN Noah - - - 3% 18% 43% 35%
43 HOTHA Nikhil - 2% 18% 38% 31% 9% 1%
44 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 20%
45 SUGIURA Samuel - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
46 OH Triton - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 18%
46 BOSITA Carson - 1% 8% 23% 35% 25% 7%
48 ROE Finnegan 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5% -
49 KALPATHY Rohit - - 3% 17% 41% 32% 6%
50 SU Landon - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
51 KILARI Krish - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
52 RAMANAN Govind 1% 10% 27% 33% 21% 7% 1%
53 CHEEMA Hyder - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
53 TAO Jeffrey - - 2% 9% 27% 39% 23%
53 VAID Luke - 1% 8% 27% 39% 22% 3%
56 SOWERS Samuel - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
57 TURCK Caspar J. - 1% 5% 19% 34% 30% 10%
58 GAY Jono 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
59 HERNANDEZ Stanton - 4% 17% 35% 31% 12% 1%
60 RADY-PENTEK Charles A. - 4% 17% 32% 31% 14% 2%
60 WANG Justin - 3% 17% 35% 31% 12% 2%
62 KANG Evan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
63 ERMAKOV Semeon 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
64 YAN Kevin 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1% -
65 BAE Jason I. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
66 CHOW William T. - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
67 BONIFIELD Arthur G. - - 1% 8% 32% 44% 15%
68 KIM Ethan - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
69 MUNGUIA Nathan 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
70 LIN Philip T. 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5% -
71 VAUGHN Jason - 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
72 REN James - - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
73 CLARK Gabriel - - 6% 25% 40% 25% 3%
74 ZHANG Ethan W. - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
75 PATEL Rayn - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
76 GOLDIN Lucca 2% 11% 26% 32% 21% 7% 1%
77 BRANDT Jaden - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
77 YAN William - 2% 15% 37% 33% 11% 1%
77 LIN Maxim - 2% 15% 39% 33% 10% 1%
80 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 1% 10% 29% 35% 20% 5% -
80 HWANG Jayden - 5% 22% 36% 27% 8% 1%
82 LEE Andrew 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
83 FAYETTE Julien 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% - -
84 BYON Adrian - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
85 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 2% 13% 32% 34% 16% 3%
85 BODKIN Jake M. 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
87 ZHENG LEON 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
88 KOVALEV Daniil N. - 1% 6% 20% 36% 30% 7%
89 LO Bradley 1% 7% 23% 38% 27% 5% -
90 MEHAN Nicholas - - - 2% 14% 48% 36%
91 NGUYEN Anthony 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
92 WANG Max 6% 23% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
93 HOUTZ Mitchell B. - 4% 17% 34% 32% 12% 2%
94 WU Richard - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
95 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
95 GUFFEY Christopher - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
97 KERCHER Alexander 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
98 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 5% -
98 GONG Jerry - - 2% 15% 39% 35% 8%
100 YERRAMILLI Tejas 2% 15% 37% 32% 12% 2% -
101 CARL Ryan 4% 19% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
102 DECK Tyson - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 1%
103 POFF Kainoa 1% 9% 33% 39% 16% 2% -
104 KUSHKOV Daniel - 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
105 LEE Noah 1% 6% 19% 33% 29% 11% 1%
106 BOULAIS Andrew D. 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
107 GAUVEY Kieran 2% 11% 27% 32% 21% 7% 1%
107 GUAN Dennis 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
109 BERA Enzo - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
110 SHANKWILER Christopher - 5% 18% 32% 29% 13% 2%
111 WANG Zhuoyi 1% 8% 24% 34% 23% 8% 1%
112 FANG Eason - 2% 17% 37% 32% 11% 1%
113 BYON Julian 2% 13% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
114 NG Jonathan 3% 24% 40% 25% 7% 1% -
115 GUREVICH Savely 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1% -
116 JOO Jeein - 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 4%
117 WITCZAK Mateus 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
118 KANG evan - 3% 12% 28% 33% 19% 4%
119 AKS Ari 1% 9% 25% 33% 22% 7% 1%
119 WILKINSON James 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
121 SHIPITSIN Alexander 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1%
122 HO Jacob 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2% -
123 BADUSHOV Anton 2% 13% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
124 SIDDIQUI Shayan 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
125 WANG daniel - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
126 ATWOOD Griffin 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
127 HO Nathaniel 17% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
128 ZHAO Lucas 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
129 LIU Kevin 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
130 MATERDEY Alexander 1% 5% 18% 31% 29% 13% 2%
131 KATZ Ryan 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 6% 1%
132 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) - 6% 23% 38% 25% 7% -
133 FOX Gavin 8% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
134 LUHAN Zachary 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
135 SHETTY VIVAN 30% 44% 22% 4% - - -
136 VAROQUA Nalby 1% 10% 29% 37% 19% 4% -
137 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 6% 21% 35% 27% 9% 1%
138 ALAVE Kyle - 3% 14% 30% 32% 17% 3%
138 LI Seth 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% - -
140 ANAND Rohan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
141 ANAND Sahil Z. 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
142 OH Aster 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3% -
143 CHEN Lohen 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% -
144 CLARK Aram - 1% 5% 23% 40% 26% 5%
145 MUNGOVAN Matthew 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
146 CHUNG Connor 9% 30% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
147 SINGER Marcus 10% 33% 36% 17% 4% - -
148 NARDINI Nathanael P. 1% 7% 22% 32% 26% 10% 2%
149 SAGE Sebastian - 4% 16% 34% 32% 12% 2%
150 VENU Ram 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 8% 1%
151 FERGUSON Constantine 5% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
152 EYBELMAN Ariel - 3% 17% 38% 32% 9% 1%
153 TSE Aiden J - 4% 22% 39% 27% 7% -
154 BONETTI Brayden 1% 6% 19% 32% 28% 12% 2%
155 MONTALVO Emmeric 2% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
156 MEDVINSKY Daniel 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
157 LEE Ashe 2% 16% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
158 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 1% 6% 22% 34% 26% 10% 1%
159 KO Zuriel 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% - -
160 KENNEDY Michael 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
160 WEINSTEIN Nate 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
160 RICHARDS Corey 21% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
163 HRISTOV Kris 1% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
164 LI linze 10% 30% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
165 LIN Felix 1% 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
166 NORTON Benjamin 14% 33% 32% 16% 5% 1% -
167 HUNG Samuel 3% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1% -
167 MARGULIS Jared 8% 27% 35% 22% 7% 1% -
167 MENDOZA Diwa 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
170 WANG jason 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
171 ANDRES Michael 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
172 BARROWS Hunter 33% 47% 17% 2% - - -
173 GERSTMANN Max T. 1% 7% 24% 35% 24% 8% 1%
174 HO Anson 11% 31% 35% 18% 5% 1% -
175 ZENG Vito 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
176 WONG Caleb W. 27% 41% 24% 7% 1% - -
176 WANG William 24% 40% 26% 9% 2% - -
178 HERRERA Aragon 15% 38% 32% 12% 2% - -
178 HOLZ Lucas 4% 17% 32% 29% 15% 4% -
180 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 13% 33% 34% 16% 4% - -
181 YU Kevin 8% 27% 37% 22% 6% - -
182 RAMTEKKAR Soham 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
182 MONTALVO Matthew 5% 49% 35% 10% 1% - -
184 TSAO Oliver 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 2% -
185 KIM Evan 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
186 HE Bowen 2% 22% 40% 27% 8% 1% -
187 XIA Eric 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
188 KIM Kendrick 3% 21% 43% 26% 6% 1% -
189 CAO Oliver 3% 27% 40% 23% 6% 1% -
190 SHINCHUK Daniel 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3% -
190 NGUYENBA Thaison 1% 10% 28% 35% 20% 5% -
192 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 38% 44% 15% 2% - - -
192 YEE Collin 49% 38% 11% 2% - - -
194 PINTO Marcus 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
195 XUE Leo 23% 49% 24% 4% - - -
195 MCDONALD Finn 4% 23% 38% 27% 8% 1% -
197 GONG Gavin 44% 40% 14% 2% - - -
198 ZHANG Ray 22% 40% 27% 9% 1% - -
199 WANG HongXi 21% 40% 28% 9% 1% - -
200 LI Allan 37% 41% 18% 4% - - -
201 GREMILLION Obadiah 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% - -
201 KAY Gabriel 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
203 PENG Victor 23% 43% 26% 7% 1% - -
203 SO Preston 4% 18% 33% 29% 14% 3% -
205 CRAIG Andrew 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
206 PARKILA Lukas 11% 34% 37% 16% 3% - -
206 RAJMOHAN Arya 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
208 KURILO Michael 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
208 LI AYDEN 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
208 SANGSTER Arden 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
211 TUNG Ryan 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
211 CHAN Henry 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
211 KUMAR Arjun 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
214 LICHTERMAN Jakub 3% 20% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
214 ROJAS Alejandro Joaquin 27% 47% 22% 4% - - -
214 CARD Seamus 29% 44% 22% 4% - - -
217 GUREVICH Benjamin 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
217 WHITE Blake 68% 28% 4% - - - -
219 AUTREY Adrien 23% 50% 23% 4% - - -
220 PRIEUR Christian F. 24% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
221 VAHABZADEH Jake R. 67% 28% 4% - - - -
221 HUA Michael 25% 46% 24% 5% - - -
223 CAMPBELL Tobias 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
224 KANG Alan 86% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.