USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Div II Women's Saber

Friday, July 8, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUBRAMANIAN Nitika 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 7%
2 DHAR Aamina 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 12% 1%
3 KYNETT Kathryn G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 39%
3 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
5 SPRINGER Ella 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
6 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
7 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 91% 69% 34% 7%
8 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 32% 7%
9 SADOVA Olga 100% 100% 93% 68% 31% 6% < 1%
9 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
11 JEAN Olympe G. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
12 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
13 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 17% 3%
14 GRAJALES Hannah E. 100% 98% 85% 57% 25% 6% 1%
15 MANN Sophia J. 100% 99% 84% 49% 16% 2% -
16 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
17 CALVERT Sarah-Jane E. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
18 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
19 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 19%
20 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
20 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
22 CHIANG Emily 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
23 JOHNSTON Lily 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
24 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
25 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 7% 1%
25 HORAN Alexa 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
27 XIONG Haojiao 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 8%
28 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 96% 77% 44% 14% 2%
29 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 4%
30 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 87% 53% 19% 3% -
31 CANSECO Carly 100% 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% -
32 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
33 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
34 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
35 SCOTT Eve 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2% < 1%
36 TIBURCIO Diana 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 44%
37 LIM Jovine 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
38 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
39 SCHMITT Alana P. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
40 YEN Natalie 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
41 NGUYEN Ella 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
42 RIZKALA Joanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 72% 25%
43 SU Emma 100% 100% 98% 89% 65% 31% 7%
44 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 26% 5%
45 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
46 COLTER Aurora 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
47 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
48 LIN Nicole 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
49 NGUYEN Siena 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
50 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
51 LIAO Siwen 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
52 CHIN Elise 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 15% 2%
53 PANIGRAHI Emersen 100% 94% 68% 33% 10% 2% -
54 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 2%
55 TODD Peregrine 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
56 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
57 BERNSTEIN Aiden S. 100% 98% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
58 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
58 ZENG Megan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
60 SCHICK Veronica 100% 98% 81% 46% 16% 3% -
61 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
62 NAYAK Esha 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
63 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
64 CHANG Audrey 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
65 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
66 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 99% 86% 52% 18% 3% -
67 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 13%
68 EVANS Madelynn 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
69 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 11%
70 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 98% 83% 50% 19% 4% -
71 BAWA Anahat 100% 97% 82% 49% 18% 3% -
72 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
73 SUN Alyssa 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
74 CHOWDHURY Ranlyn 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
75 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
76 HUANG Madeline 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
77 NAYAK Anika 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
78 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
79 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
79 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
81 ROBINSON Stella 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
82 YOUNG Audrey 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
83 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 99% 86% 53% 20% 4% -
84 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
85 REN Xinling 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 9% 1%
86 KALKINA Yelena 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
86 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 6% 1%
88 LISSO Ria A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
89 FAN Grace 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 2%
90 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
91 FREEDMAN Amelia F. 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
92 SATHE Mehek S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 14%
93 GAJOWSKYJ Sophie K. 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
94 DAI Olivia 100% 96% 78% 44% 16% 3% -
95 LIN Sarah 100% 98% 83% 47% 14% 1% -
96 CHARLES Caitlin 100% 95% 67% 28% 6% - -
97 TUNG Renee 100% 92% 66% 32% 9% 1% -
97 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 95% 59% 20% 4% - -
99 HUA Catherine W. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
100 COLBY Mercer 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
101 FANG sophie 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
102 MORALES Victoria J. 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
103 SCHOEW Margot 100% 97% 74% 37% 10% 2% -
104 MUELLER Amelia D. 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
105 BRAMMER-GONZALES Xiomara 100% 11% 1% - - - -
106 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 99% 91% 67% 30% 6%
107 CHO Michelle 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1%
108 LI Victoria 100% 80% 42% 13% 3% - -
109 MACE Eliza M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 70% 36% 9%
110 MACDONALD Kaylie S. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 12% 1%
111 SHEN Jamie 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
112 REGANTI Sitara 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
113 KEITH Margaret 100% 94% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
114 TESTROET Aubrey 100% 72% 31% 8% 1% - -
115 PANIGRAHI Kingsley 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
116 FREY Sarah E. 100% 79% 38% 11% 2% - -
117 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
118 BROWNER June 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
119 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 9% 1%
120 ISBERG Natalie 100% 96% 77% 42% 12% 1%
121 FAYETTE Mathilde 100% 27% 3% - - - -
122 BARRIE Sadie Q. 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
123 CHANCO-EVERETT Aileen 100% 99% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
123 MILLER Sophia 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
125 RODGERS Rachel 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
126 WOODY Sophia 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% - -
126 PREIMESBERGER Elaine 100% 72% 28% 6% 1% - -
128 WODISKA Ava 100% 37% 6% - - - -
129 CLEARY Mel 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
129 CHOW Caitlyn 100% 22% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.