USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-14 Women's Saber

Saturday, July 9, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 25%
2 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 63%
3 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
3 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
5 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
6 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
7 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
8 XIONG Haojiao 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 15%
9 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 31%
10 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
11 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
12 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 43%
13 YAN Lena 100% 96% 76% 43% 14% 2%
14 DENG Brooke 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 28% 5%
15 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
16 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
17 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
18 GHAYALOD Reya 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
18 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
18 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
21 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
22 FEIG Sela 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 6%
23 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 83% 44% 14% 2% < 1%
23 XU Emily T. 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 9%
25 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 33%
26 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
27 NGUYEN Siena 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 20% 2%
28 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
29 MUND Ruth 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 3%
30 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
31 HU Michelle 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
32 ZHENG Valentina 100% 99% 90% 59% 24% 5% -
33 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 8%
34 KHOST Maeve 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
35 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 44% 12%
36 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
37 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
38 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
39 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
40 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 98% 85% 55% 20% 3%
41 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
42 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
43 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 17% 2%
44 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
45 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 2%
46 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
47 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 30% 5%
48 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 31% 3%
49 FLATT Sophia 100% 100% 99% 85% 50% 15% 2%
50 WANG yining 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 8%
51 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11% 1%
52 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 95% 76% 44% 15% 2%
53 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
54 CHAN Jolene 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 5%
55 CHEN Kevy 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7%
56 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 14%
57 YOUNG Audrey 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
58 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
59 ARNOLD Hali 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
60 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 23% 4%
61 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 97% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
62 CANSECO Carly 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 5% -
63 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 24% 3%
64 KIM Elyssa 100% 57% 16% 2% - - -
65 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2%
66 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
67 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
68 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
69 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 35% 7%
70 ZHANG Emily 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
71 WANG Zidan 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 25% 3%
72 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
73 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 98% 85% 53% 22% 5% -
73 LIM Jaslene 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 3%
75 ALTIRS Kate 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 9% 1%
76 MALEK Zolie 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4%
77 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% -
78 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% -
79 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% -
80 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 17% 2%
81 SHEARER Alena 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
82 STONE Coral 100% 100% 96% 73% 34% 7% 1%
83 LEE Lauren 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
84 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 18% 2%
85 SHINCHUK Ellisha 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 25% 3%
86 LI Alexis 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
87 POLSTON Ella 100% 93% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
88 GOMERMAN Sophia 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
89 YAM Danika 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 24%
90 CAO Sophie 100% 67% 25% 5% - -
91 KINKADE Ellie 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2%
92 DAI Olivia 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 2%
93 MYAT Chloe 100% 99% 87% 55% 19% 3%
94 ZHANG Sophie 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
95 DEHON Inès 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2%
96 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 7%
97 JIANG Mu Jia (Michelle) 100% 88% 55% 20% 4% -
98 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
99 FENG Alicia G. 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
100 DANTULURI Shivani 100% 97% 54% 14% 2% - -
101 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3% -
102 TAN Adelyn 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
103 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 24% 3%
104 CHOU Zoe 100% 98% 86% 55% 23% 5% -
105 LAGOON Miriam 100% 97% 76% 39% 11% 2% -
106 GOLOVITSER Maya 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
107 GUGALA Hanna 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
108 WANG Peijia 100% 94% 69% 34% 9% 1% -
108 ZHAI AMY 100% 92% 60% 23% 4% - -
110 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% -
111 FAVO Isabella 100% 92% 60% 23% 5% - -
112 PADANILAM Lily 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1% -
113 CHEN Elaine 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
113 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 95% 74% 39% 13% 2% -
115 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
115 LO Chloe 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
117 BIRNSTILL Reese 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
118 BORGUETA Madison 100% 92% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
119 CHIANG Melissa 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2% -
120 DUCKETT Retta 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
121 BUSH Bethany 100% 99% 87% 46% 12% 2% -
121 HSU leah 100% 97% 77% 41% 12% 2% -
123 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 99% 89% 59% 24% 5% -
124 WANG Callie 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
125 NAYAK Esha 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
126 HITOMI Nadya 100% 99% 89% 64% 29% 6%
127 SCHOEW Margot 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
128 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
129 KORINTH Jacqueline 100% 68% 25% 5% - -
130 BROWNER June 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% -
131 CHO Michelle 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
132 YAO Rainie 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
133 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 98% 85% 53% 20% 3% -
134 WANG Jiayi 100% 40% 7% 1% - - -
135 CARTER Keely 100% 91% 41% 8% 1% - -
136 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
137 CHANG Julia 100% 82% 30% 5% - - -
137 BAROUCH Susanna 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% - -
139 WENG Amber 100% 56% 16% 2% - - -
140 BARROSO Isabela 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
141 LIU Hannah 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
142 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 85% 50% 18% 4% - -
143 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
144 CHOU Amy R. 100% 98% 85% 52% 19% 3% -
144 LUKER Hannah 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
146 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 5% -
147 NELLIGAN Hutton 100% 50% 13% 2% - - -
148 MONTORIO Lily M. 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
149 SRINATH Lyra A. 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
150 ORIA Isabel 100% 24% 2% - - - -
151 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 99% 81% 36% 8% 1% -
152 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 96% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
153 NICHOLAS Eva 100% 96% 65% 25% 5% 1% -
154 CHO Kaeli M. 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
155 REGANTI Sitara 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
156 CHAN Madeleine V. 100% 87% 52% 19% 4% - -
156 SINGER Ellery 100% 63% 20% 3% - - -
156 WILSON Sophie 100% 38% 4% - - - -
159 HU Anna 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3% -
160 KIM Karen 100% 95% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
161 JENSEN Katrina 100% 10% - - - - -
161 MUTYALA Jiya 100% 23% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.