USA Fencing National Championships & July Challenge

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, July 10, 2022 at 2:00 PM

Minneapolis, MN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 64%
2 VAID Luke 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
3 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
3 KANG evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 47%
5 MEHAN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
6 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 34%
7 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
8 HOLZ Lucas 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 10%
9 LIU Kevin 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
10 PATEL Rayn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 15%
10 KIM Ethan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
12 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 34%
13 WANG Justin 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 30%
14 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
15 WANG daniel 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 23%
16 CHUNG Connor 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 11% 1%
17 KOVALEV Daniil N. 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 46%
18 WANG Zhuoyi 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
19 CARRINGTON IV William T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
20 FANG Eason 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 34% 7%
21 LI Howard 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 17%
22 TSE Aiden J 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
23 LEUNG Ian 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 27% 4%
24 GONG Gavin 100% 88% 57% 23% 6% 1% -
25 HWANG Jayden 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 20%
26 TANI tino 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
27 ALAVE Kyle 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
28 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
29 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
30 ARISTOV Ilya 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
31 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
32 KANG Matthew 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
33 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
34 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
35 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 56% 22% 4%
36 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
37 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
38 CAO Oliver 100% 99% 94% 74% 41% 13% 2%
39 LIN Philip T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
40 MEYERSON Jacob 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
41 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
42 ANDRES Michael 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 21%
43 HO Anson 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
44 SO Preston 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 30% 5%
45 KIETLINSKI Samuel 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
46 LIN Maxim 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 48% 13%
47 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 39% 6%
48 NGUYEN Anthony 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
49 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 4%
49 PINTO Marcus 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
51 OH Aster 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
52 GUREVICH Benjamin 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 32% 7%
53 STURGEON Cole 100% 93% 65% 26% 4% -
54 KIM Kendrick 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 13% 2%
55 WANG Max 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
55 CRAIG Andrew 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 11% 1%
57 BIVIJI Ali 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 19% 1%
58 LI linze 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
59 CHAN Henry 100% 88% 55% 22% 5% 1% -
60 LI Yidong 100% 92% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
61 ANAND Rishab 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
62 KWON Kenneth 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
63 WELSTEAD Nicholas 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
64 KURILO Michael 100% 95% 74% 40% 13% 2% -
65 GAY Jono 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20% 2%
66 LIU Ryan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
67 HUA Michael 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
68 BONETTI Brayden 100% 100% 100% 97% 86% 57% 19%
69 LOO Jason 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
70 YU BOWEN 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
71 GREMILLION Obadiah 100% 91% 62% 27% 7% 1% -
71 HWANG Hagan 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
73 DAWSON-TEECE Powell 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
74 VO Maxwell 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
75 ZENG Vito 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
76 PARKILA Lukas 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
77 NARDINI Nathanael P. 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
78 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 94% 70% 35% 10% 2% -
78 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
80 MALLETT Shane 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
81 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 1%
82 HU Harry 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
83 MCDONALD Finn 100% 98% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
84 ZHANG Ray 100% 92% 66% 32% 10% 2% -
85 SASSI Ilyas 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% 1% -
86 SANGSTER Arden 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1%
87 PAI Ayan 100% 55% 15% 2% - -
88 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
89 MONTALVO Matthew 100% 87% 50% 15% 2% -
90 YANG Phillip 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
91 BREUER Daniel 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
92 LI Allan 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
93 BIVIJI Adam 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
94 XUE Leo 100% 98% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
95 ZHOU William 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
96 LEE Griffin 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% 1%
97 IYER Neil 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
98 NOVOSYOLOK Zachary 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 19% 3%
99 LIU Aaron 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
100 TATAR Daniel 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 4% -
101 LI Philip 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
102 DOSTAL Maximilian 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
102 RAJMOHAN Arya 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
102 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 98% 75% 34% 7% 1% -
105 COGLIANO Max 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4% -
106 DEELY Hartigan 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
107 ONG Dylan 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4% -
108 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
109 LOU Kaden 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
110 SARWAHI Viraat 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
111 GOMEZ Emilio 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
111 HAO Johnny 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
113 YU Casey 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
114 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 8% 1%
115 BARENBOYM Michael 100% 88% 51% 17% 3% - -
116 KUMAR Avinash 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
117 PORTER Dupree 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
118 XIAO Brayden 100% 99% 90% 63% 29% 7% 1%
119 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
120 RONG Jasper 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1% -
121 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 97% 79% 41% 11% 1% -
122 CARD Seamus 100% 81% 44% 14% 3% - -
123 SONG Aidan 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% - -
124 LIEBOWITZ Carson 100% 89% 51% 16% 2% - -
125 EPLETT Nicholas 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
126 CHANG Timothy 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
127 PRAJAPATI Devin D. 100% 83% 46% 15% 2% - -
128 PAUL James 100% 96% 79% 48% 18% 4% -
128 CHAWLA Abhishek 100% 64% 21% 3% - - -
128 BAI Evan 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
128 HUANG Jason 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
132 KRUPINSKI Alan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
133 MELUL Jonathan 100% 80% 39% 9% 1% -
134 CHEN Cooper 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
135 HARDRICK Noah 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
135 TUNIK Joshuah 100% 83% 45% 15% 3% - -
137 KIM Samuel 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
137 KANIA Alexander 100% 91% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
139 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
140 SAYAR Luke 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
140 GERTSBERG Eli 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% 1% -
140 GORDON Samuel 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% - -
140 MARTINSON Torm 100% 75% 36% 10% 2% - -
144 KANG Alan 100% 19% 1% - - - -
145 LIANG Preston 100% 95% 72% 35% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.