California State High School Fencing Championships

Men's High School Epee

Sunday, May 8, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Chaminade College Preparatory High School - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 REDDINGTON Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
2 KIRK Marcus Haagen 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2%
3 SCHROEDER Dylan 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3%
4 WARD Edward 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
5 TOLBERT-SCHWARTZ Everett 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5%
6 GHOTANIAN Marc 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
7 COMER Alexander J. 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% -
8 PEÑA Ethan 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 2%
9 FRIEDMAN Jonas 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 1%
10 ANSELL Zachary 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
11 RAMOS Russell K. 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 9%
12 TRIM Joshua 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4%
13 O'BRIEN Beckett 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
14 NAZARIAN Jonah 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
15 SPENCER Cale 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
16 STAFFORD Michael 100% 81% 43% 12% 2% -
17 RIORDAN Micah 100% 59% 19% 3% - -
18 DE GOLDSMITH Julien 100% 90% 53% 17% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.