D & Under - 3 Weapon

Div III Mixed Épée

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 9:00 AM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GIOVAGNOLI Nolan 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
2 MCADOO Declan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
3 CHOI Kaiden I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
3 GAO Zachary 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 12%
5 PEARSON Heila 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
6 LEWIS Rachel 100% 90% 59% 23% 4% - -
7 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 25% 5%
8 WATSON William D. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
9 FUNSTON Lauren L. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 11%
10 ERKENBECK Nathan M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 31%
11 PETERSON Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 21% 2%
12 MCDONALD Connor 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% 1%
13 BUERGISSER Kai 100% 99% 87% 56% 22% 4% -
14 GAMMILL Luke 100% 99% 90% 61% 24% 4%
15 HANEY Kimberly M. 100% 90% 51% 15% 2% -
16 TOLLEFSON Zachary 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
17 FOX Alexander 100% 95% 70% 30% 7% 1% -
18 KRENZ Avery 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% - -
19 PEARSON Arwa 100% 92% 59% 21% 3% - -
20 YODER Bridget H. 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
21 SYKES Elynor 100% 100% 95% 75% 42% 13% 2%
22 LETTANG John 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
23 ERKENBECK Zoe R. 100% 90% 58% 24% 5% 1% -
24 MU Jason 100% 94% 64% 24% 5% - -
25 GAMMILL Anna 100% 81% 40% 11% 2% -
26 SZABO Oliver 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
27 ARMSTRONG Theo 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.