D & Under - 3 Weapon

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, February 27, 2022 at 12:30 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PETERSON Matthew 100% 99% 88% 55% 14%
2 NOFZIGER Bennett 100% 96% 70% 27% 4%
3 GUY Ryan R. 100% 100% 98% 81% 37%
3 ARMSTRONG Elijah 100% 87% 47% 12% 1%
5 ROLOFF Katarina M. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
6 LIU Xiang 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
7 MCDONALD Connor 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
8 NIEMIEC Mark 100% 97% 73% 33% 8% 1%
9 FREDEN Matthew A. 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
10 MCDONALD Mark 100% 99% 87% 53% 16% 2%
11 GIRARD Emma 100% 63% 20% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.