Nutmeg State Games Open

E & Under Men's Foil

Sunday, July 31, 2022 at 9:00 AM

Middletown High School - Middletown, CT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MORGESON Colin 100% 83% 40% 8% -
2 LOZADA RODRIGUEZ Gabriel 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% < 1%
3 HARRIS Noah 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 4%
3 BUCHAS Jamie 100% 100% 100% 92% 42%
5 MASTROPAOLO Jonah 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
6 CHANDRAMOHAN Aran 100% 90% 57% 20% 3%
7 GOLD Aidan 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 15%
8 DJONOUMA Toyohm 100% 97% 80% 42% 10%
9 HO Jor Sam 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
10 WUN Jonathan 100% 94% 65% 23% 1%
11 GRANADOS Luis 100% 96% 76% 35% 5%
12 WANG Charles 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 6%
13 HAYLON Caleb 100% 99% 87% 57% 21% 3%
14 CANAPARI Charles 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
15 TRAUB Will 100% 87% 51% 16% 2%
16 OLLARI John 100% 85% 46% 12% 1%
17 KOPRESKI Lucas 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 15%
18 SAMUELS Noah 100% 97% 76% 38% 10% 1%
19 BALUTOWSKI Zackaria 100% 98% 81% 45% 11%
20 CAPLAN Caleb 100% 95% 72% 33% 6%
21 WAWRZYK Mat 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% -
22 HEFFELFINGER Simon 100% 95% 57% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.