Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | KNIGHT Skylar | V D V V V V D V | V V V | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 2 | CHOWDHURY Ranlyn | V V V V D V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 3 | ARNIPALLI Hamsika | V V D D V D V V | V D | 5.2 | 5 | -0.2 |
| 3 | KONG Zhao xia | V V V D V D V V | V D | 5.9 | 6 | +0.1 |
| 5 | ZHANG Chenfei | D V V V D V D V | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 6 | D'ORAZIO Sofia V. | V D D D V D V V | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 7 | GLUCK Myriam | D D D V V V D D | D | 4.6 | 3 | -1.6 |
| 8 | DREYER Nadia S. | D D V D D D D D | V D | 4.0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| 9 | RIESTERER Katherine | D D D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |