Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Div II Men's Foil

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KLOSTERMANN Max 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
2 LUGO Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
3 DOUGLAS Rhys 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 LANG Dong Lin 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
5 WANG Eric J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 27%
6 FORTUNE Alexander J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
7 WOJCIECHOWSKI Matthew N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
8 JAUME Andrei 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 35% 5%
9 ROBINSON Keegan B. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 18%
10 DUBOISKI Siarhei 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
11 STRINGER David 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 8% 1%
12 SANTOS Carlos R. 100% 99% 87% 51% 13% -
13 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 15% 2%
14 KLEIN Sebastian W. 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
15 WERWA Griffith 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
16 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
17 FINLEY Dylan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
18 BROWN-GRIMM Carl H. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 2%
19 LYUTIKOV Yegor 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 37% 8%
20 PAI Lakshan K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 73% 32% 6%
21 MCISAAC Finn 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
22 VALENTINO Paul 100% 96% 73% 32% 6% -
23 FU Steven 100% 98% 83% 45% 14% 2% -
24 BURGOS Jacob R. 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
25 EDWARDS Maxon 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% - -
26 ZHEREBTCOV Kirill 100% 98% 83% 48% 14% 2% -
27 XU Xinhao ( Sonny) 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
28 WHEELOCK Bryan M. 100% 100% 98% 84% 44% 4%
29 SMITH Erick 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 48% 12%
30 SZEGO Bence P. 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30% 5%
31 BIESIADA Jan 100% 86% 48% 15% 2% - -
32 VANOYEN Dominick 100% 81% 41% 12% 2% - -
33 MADSEN Jr Eric W. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 19% 2%
34 MARTIN William 100% 64% 18% 1% - - -
35 RAJPAL Alastair 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1% -
36 AGUILAR Nicolas F. 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -
37 GNEUHS Sam 100% 86% 47% 14% 2% - -
38 BLACKLEDGE Michael 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
39 CENTOFANTI Anthony 100% 82% 39% 9% 1% -
40 PALFI Jakob 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 10%
41 TINDNI Armaan 100% 94% 71% 34% 9% 1% -
42 MINTER Carson 100% 71% 26% 4% - -
43 FISHER Austin D. 100% 81% 41% 11% 1% - -
44 NEWELL Tim 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
44 TOMASI John 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% - -
44 HENDRIX Quinten 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
47 DENIHAN John 100% 84% 40% 6% - - -
48 ARMSTRONG David 100% 68% 17% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.