Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LUO ZIWEN | V V V V D | V V V V V | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 2 | POWERS Meredith R. | V V V V D V | V V V V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 3 | LEE Ariana | D V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 3 | YANG Lingting | D D V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 5 | KO Claire | V V V V V | V D | 2.3 | 5 | +2.7 |
| 6 | BOLES Sophia | V V V V V | V V D | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 7 | BAWA Sahana | V V V V V D | V V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 8 | DRAGNE Alexis D. | V V D V V | V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 9 | SCHMIDT Victoria | V V V V D | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 10 | OFFERLE Judith (Jude) A. | D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 11 | KANG Jiyoon | D D V V V V | V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 12 | LI Shuang | V V D D V V | V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 13 | OWEN Ashley | V D D V V | V D | 3.6 | 3 | -0.6 |
| 14 | PARK Leah | D V V D V | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 15 | GANDLURI Sreehitha (Sarah) | V V D D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 16 | BASSIK Eva | V V D D V | V D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 17 | WIERENGA Esther | V V V D D | D | 0.9 | 3 | +2.1 |
| 18 | MAO Rebecca J. | D D V V D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 | |
| 19 | HAN Katherine | D V V D D | D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 20 | WATERS Samantha M. | D D D V V | D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 21 | COLLINS Anna | D V V D D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 22 | BONGADO Noreen | D D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 23 | SCARLETT Skye | V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 24 | ROMANO Megan C. | V D D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 25 | FOLIO Isabella | D D D D V | D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 26 | GUILLEN Mikaela | D D D V D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 27 | TOMASI Samantha | V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 28 | GRAY Martha R. | D D D D V D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 29 | WESTFALL Iris | D D D D D | D | 1.0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| 30 | BETTRIDGE Jessica | D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| 31 | BAUSTERT Kathryn | D D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |