Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Junior Men's Épée

Friday, March 11, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 GORNOVSKY David J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
2 KOZAKIEWICZ Filip 100% 99% 91% 62% 20% 1%
3 SHAH S Ayush 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 HERMANSON David B. 100% 99% 94% 70% 27%
5 BOUMEDIENNE Sami 100% 100% 96% 73% 28%
6 ZHANG Caden 100% 96% 70% 27% 4% -
7 MIRANDA Matteo 100% 100% 97% 79% 37% 3%
8 CHAWLA Armaan 100% 100% 92% 62% 18%
9 GOHSMAN Maxwell 100% 87% 50% 15% 2%
10 CHEN Zhong Han 100% 80% 40% 10% 1%
11 KNECHT PRANGE Patrick 100% 88% 43% 10% 1%
12 NESTEROV Andrew E. 100% 100% 96% 77% 34% 3%
13 WEI Zheng (Jonny) 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
14 SPINA Joseph B. 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
15 MILLER Lance W. 100% 93% 60% 20% 3% -
16 CAVRELL Nicholas 100% 86% 47% 13% 1% -
18 ZENG Zihan 100% 99% 85% 45% 9%
19 HONG James 100% 100% 94% 69% 25% 2%
20 BARTCH Ethan L. 100% 94% 63% 22% 3% -
22 PAN Tristan 100% 56% 15% 2% - -
23 HU Anton 100% 60% 16% 2% - -
24 TIRADO Giancarlo 100% 42% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.