Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | PALMA Nathan Anthony | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.2 | 5 | +0.8 |
| 2 | GUTH Joseph | D V V V | V V V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 3 | TSAY Jordan R. | V D D V V | V V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 3 | SENIC Lucas | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 5 | ZHAO Nathan | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 6 | ALLEN Henry G. | V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 7 | MANDZY Theodor | V V V V V | V V D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 8 | ZHENG Marcus | D V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 9 | SLUSHER Gideon | V V D V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 10 | DESERANNO Leander | V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 11 | HICKEY Connor | D V V V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 12 | OZAWA Taishi | D D V V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 13 | IANNI Renato | D V V V D | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 14 | GOGOI Kavi | V V D D | V D | 0.8 | 2 | +1.2 |
| 15 | LI Joseph | V D V D D | V D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 16 | SCHLAKE Ethan | D D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 17 | WENGER Liam | V D V D V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 18 | WINGLER Cole | V V D D D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 19 | CALESHU Bauer | V D D D V | D | 1.1 | 2 | +0.9 |
| 20 | MARTIN Wesley | V V D D D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 21 | MAZAHERI Fletcher | D D V D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 22 | ZMUDA Aiden | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 23 | GOMEZ Leo | D D V D D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 24 | HOWLAND Jonas | D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 25 | CAMACHO Hiram | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 26 | TURNER Jackson | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 27 | IBRAHIM Khaden | D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 28 | OTTER Samuel | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 29 | RODGERSON Jasper | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |