Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | TENG MATTHEW | V D V V V | V V V V V | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 2 | MURZYN III Cj | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.8 | 5 | +1.2 |
| 3 | RIGGINS Littleton K. | V V V D V V | V V V D | 5.1 | 5 | -0.1 |
| 3 | ZHOU James Y. | V D D D V | V V V D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 5 | CHAVES Matthew J. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 6 | ZHU Charlie | D V V V V | V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 7 | STEVENS Jeffrey | D V V D V | V V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 8 | KLEBS Robert | V D V D V | V V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 9 | FISIC Vasilije | V V V V V | V D | 4.4 | 5 | +0.6 |
| 10 | PAN Alex | V V V V V | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 11 | BOUKHTIN Maxim | V V V V V D | V D | 3.4 | 5 | +1.6 |
| 12 | CHAUDHURI Eeshaan A. | V V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 13 | WANG Nicolas | V D V V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 14 | AKS Ari | V D V D V V | V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | LUHMAN Gabriel | V V D D V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 16 | BIRKS Evan D. | D D V V V | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 17 | RICHER Tyler | V V V V D | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 18 | SEWARD Darian | V D V V D | D | 1.2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| 19 | CONN Jackson | D V V D V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 19 | OJE Chuku | V V D V D | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 21 | KROGGEL Travis | V D V D V D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 22 | RIESTERER Jacob | D V D V D V | D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 23 | BURGESS-LINDEN Ian | D V V D D | D | 2.9 | 2 | -0.9 |
| 24 | PASZEK Elijah | D V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 25 | SAWYER Edward | V V D D D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 26 | KILGORE Robert | D D D D V | D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 27 | SOCHA Daniel | D D D V D | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 28 | BLAKE Jason | D D D D V | V D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 29 | TANGEL Philip A. | V D D D D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 30 | SWIFT Rhys | D D D V D | V D | 2.1 | 1 | -1.1 |
| 31 | FARIDI Imran | D D D V D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 32 | DEPERO Andrew | D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 33 | STANISLAV Charles | D V D D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 34 | JAMES Evan | D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 35 | KANUK Jacob | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 36 | SINGER Eric | D D D D D D | D | 2.1 | 0 | -2.1 |
| 37 | BECK William | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |