Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SZEGO Levente (Levi) | V V V V V | V V V | 4.8 | 5 | +0.2 |
| 2 | STREB Joseph S. | V V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | DENMAN Matthew L. | V V D V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 3 | RUSANOV Oleg | V V V D D | V V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 5 | KAROLAK Dale W. | V V V V D | D | 3.6 | 4 | +0.4 |
| 6 | TOMASI John | D V V D V | V D | 1.4 | 3 | +1.6 |
| 7 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | V D D D V | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 8 | HOORNSTRA David S. | D D V D V | V D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 9 | NEWELL Tim | D D D V D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 10 | MOHR Aaron | D D D V D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 11 | TREANOR Donald K. | D D D D D | D | 1.7 | 0 | -1.7 |
| 12 | SEMOS David Andrew | D D D D D | D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |