Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SENIC Adeline | V V V V V V | V V V V | 5.8 | 6 | +0.2 |
| 2 | YANG Lingting | D V V V D V | V V V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 3 | LEE Fiona E. | D V D D V V | V V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 3 | BURBERRY Livia | V V D V V | V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 5 | BAWA Sahana | V V V V V V | V D | 4.6 | 6 | +1.4 |
| 6 | ZHUANG Sophie | V V D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 7 | BIODROWICZ Julia | D V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 8 | HERNANDEZ VEGA Mya | D D V V D D | V V D | 4.3 | 2 | -2.3 |
| 9 | HAYES Alyssa R. | V V V D V V | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | BASSIK Eva | D D V V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 11 | KO Claire | V D V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 12 | HAN Katherine | V D V D D V | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 13 | MANDZY Athena | D D D V V V | D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 14 | PARK Leah | V V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 15 | PHILLIPS Hattie | V D D D V D | V D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 16 | SOLOMIE Sabina | V D D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 17 | KAISER Katherine | D D D V D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 18 | HOOGSTRA Lucy | D V D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 19 | COLLINS Anna | D D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 20 | GUSKA Jenn | D D D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |