The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem.

Event Results

Div I-A Women's Épée

Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCPool Heatmap

Saturday, March 12, 2022 at 8:00 AM Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall · Columbus, OH, USA
28 finishers
Birth year

At-Least Win Probabilities

Boxed values show the actual result while each column shows the chance of reaching at least that many pool wins.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Nicole 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
2 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
3 SCHMIDT Lori M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 41%
3 SWEET Ryleigh E. 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
5 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
6 FAN Elizabeth 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
7 BOLES Savvianna 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
8 BOLES Sophia 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3%
9 SHEN Stephanie 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
10 TIMMONS Sarah J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
11 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
12 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
13 KIZILBASH Zara 100% 99% 93% 74% 43% 15% 2%
14 AI Amy 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
15 SCHULTZ Gillian 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
16 POPA Catherine 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
17 LIN Ashley 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
18 DENG Annie 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -
19 CAREY Michele S. 100% 100% 95% 79% 48% 18% 3%
20 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
21 MANCELL Hope 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
22 ROWLAND May 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 2% -
23 MIINEA Elena 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
24 SOARE Maria Elena 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% - -
25 RUSCONI Jane 100% 99% 90% 66% 32% 9% 1%
26 COURTNEY Elya Rebekah 100% 99% 89% 61% 27% 6% 1%
27 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
28 GORMAN Simone 100% 19% 2% - - - -