Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SU Evelyn | V V D V V V | V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | AI Amy | V V V V D V | V V D | 5.0 | 5 | - |
| 3 | SKOURLETOS Angelina | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.3 | 5 | +0.7 |
| 3 | LI Zhenni (Jenny) | D D V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 4 | -0.3 |
| 5 | MIINEA Elena | V D V V D V | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 6 | LIN Ariel | D V V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 7 | FAN Elizabeth | V D V D D V | V D | 4.2 | 3 | -1.2 |
| 8 | BARANOSKI CHLOE | D V D D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 9 | VARAN Kateryna | V D D V V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 10 | GUSKA Jenn | V D D D D V | D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 |
| 11 | O’BRYAN Riley | D V D V D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 12 | DAVIS Jennifer | D V D D D D | D | 3.4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| 13 | WEN Alicia | D D V D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 14 | DHUNGEL Kriti | D D D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |