Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LUKIBANOV Oleg | V V V V V V V V | V V V | 6.8 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 2 | STREB Joseph S. | V V V V D V V V | V V D | 6.9 | 7 | +0.1 |
| 3 | LILLARD Samuel N. | V V V D D V V V | V D | 6.6 | 6 | -0.6 |
| 3 | BLAKE Jason | D V V D V V D D | V D | 3.8 | 4 | +0.2 |
| 5 | TREANOR Donald K. | V V D D V D D V | D | 2.2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| 6 | SINGER Eric | D D D V V D V D | D | 2.1 | 3 | +0.9 |
| 7 | HOORNSTRA David S. | D D V D D D D V | D | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 8 | SEMOS David Andrew | D D D D D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 9 | ASHBY Rob | D D D D V D V D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |