Event Results
Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | CULLIVAN Sienna | V V V V V V | V V V V | 4.0 | 6 | +2.0 |
| 2 | MUMMANENI Samyuta | V D D V V V | V V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 3 | HUANG Natalie | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.8 | 6 | +1.2 |
| 3 | CASHMAN Hailey | V D V V V | V V D | 2.3 | 4 | +1.7 |
| 5 | MARTIN Sloan | V V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 6 | KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily | V V D V V V | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 7 | FRASER Morgan | V D V V D V | V D | 2.7 | 4 | +1.3 |
| 8 | KNAPP Isabella | D V D V V | V D | 2.2 | 3 | +0.8 |
| 9 | PARANJAPE Ojasvi | V D V D V V | D | 4.7 | 4 | -0.7 |
| 10 | WOODLEY Isabella | V D V D V D | D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 11 | IANNI River | V D V V D D | D | 4.1 | 3 | -1.1 |
| 12 | HAN Lucia | V D V D D | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 13 | SAMALA Reese | D V D D D V | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 14 | LIANG Jasmine | D V D V D D | V D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 15 | CLEMMER-BECHT Elise | D V D D D D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 16 | RODRIGUEZ Sophia | D D D D V D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 17 | REDEMANN Reagan | D V D D D | D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 18 | LISKA Sofia | D D V D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 19 | BELL Blake | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 20 | YU April | D D D D D D | D | 1.1 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |