Arnold Fencing Classic ROC (Div1A, Div 2, Vet), RJCC, and RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 13, 2022 at 10:30 AM

Ohio Expo Center - Kasich Hall - Columbus, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 HANEY Zachary 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
2 PARKILA Lukas 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2%
3 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 99% 92% 62% 18%
3 BENHAM Grant 100% 99% 87% 55% 18% 2%
5 WONG Cody 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
6 HIBINO Uta 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
7 LUHMAN Jacob 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
8 CHEN Lucas 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
9 GRIFFIN Sid 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1%
10 ZELENSKIY Benjamin 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
11 PARINI Luca 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
12 HOLLINGER Caden 100% 64% 18% 2% - -
13 TIMMER Leyton 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2%
14 YU Gordon 100% 98% 82% 44% 12% 1%
15 WINTERGERST Maxwell 100% 100% 78% 35% 7% -
16 MCCLELLAN John 100% 98% 84% 50% 16% 2%
17 HORVAT Oliver 100% 98% 84% 51% 17% 2%
18 MILLER Benjamin 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.