2022 Show-Me State Games

Mixed Foil

Sunday, July 24, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Eliot Battle Elementary School - COLUMBIA, MO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CHOE Jayden K. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
2 BOYKO Miles 100% 98% 85% 47% 11% < 1%
3 METTE Russell 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
3 ZHAO Bowen 100% 94% 62% 20% 2%
5 KOKKER Thomas 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
6 STANTON Richard 100% 96% 56% 16% 2% -
7 WRIGHT Leo 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
8 LEE Geongsik (Lee) 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 29%
9 HOWARD Colton 100% 100% 96% 74% 34% 6%
10 MENNE Chris D. 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
11 EHREN Mesa 100% 100% 92% 52% 9%
12 BEAMES Brandon 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% -
13 HAND Keith 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 4%
14 KAISER Katherine 100% 67% 24% 4% - -
15 SCHONBERG Peter 100% 97% 76% 39% 10% 1%
16 ELDRIDGE David 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1%
17 EDWARDS Anthony 100% 99% 88% 53% 17% 2%
18 LAGEMANN Kurt 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
19 BARTON Leo 100% 95% 72% 34% 7%
20 JEFFRIES Angela 100% 83% 18% 2% - -
21 BROWN Lucas 100% 96% 77% 40% 11% 1%
22 HENMAN Emily 100% 67% 19% 2% -
23 HENMAN Grace 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.