2022 Bay State Games

Junior Men's Foil

Saturday, June 4, 2022 at 1:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 DU Samuel R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 46%
2 SHIN Joshua J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 12%
3 LI Eric 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
3 ZHAO Jesse 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
5 DAVIDSON Elliot 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9%
6 MCLEAN Miles K. 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
7 ACHILOV Sayid 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 14%
8 WANG Mason 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
9 TSAI Max W. 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
10 SEMAPAKDI-CHANG Kaiden 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
11 MENG Zhaoyi 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5%
12 LI Arvin 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 2%
13 LIU Derek 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
14 SIMA Congyu Josh 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
15 BUCKLEY-JONES Henry C. 100% 99% 89% 60% 25% 5% -
16 CHENG Ethan 100% 91% 63% 29% 7% 1%
17 XU Ethan 100% 99% 85% 54% 22% 5% -
18 KONG Luculentus X. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
19 SHAO Eric 100% 100% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
20 LI Aaron 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
21 QI Steve 100% 100% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
22 ZHUANG Chuanxuan 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
23 WU Michael 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1% -
24 ABRUZZESE Owen 100% 38% 7% 1% - - -
25 LI Ayren 100% 95% 67% 29% 7% 1% -
26 LIGH Thomas 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2%
27 ROWAN Danny 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.