Statistics Profile

Ryan O'Connor

1969

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1989	1782 - 2195	1989	2635
Épée	Direct elimination	1866	1492 - 2239	1866	2498
Foil	Pool	1609	1404 - 1813	1609	2448
Foil	Direct elimination	1768	1436 - 2099	1759	2149

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.