Statistics Profile

Sofia D'Orazio

2004

Nova Fencing Club Virginia Tech Fencing Club

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Foil	Pool	2031	1845 - 2216	2031	2898
Foil	Direct elimination	1968	1612 - 2323	1697	2290
Saber	Pool	2015	1847 - 2182	1229	2051
Saber	Direct elimination	1924	1680 - 2167	1785	2149

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.