Statistics Profile

Henry O'Briant

2011

ArtDu Fencing

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Weapon	Type	Strength	Estimate Range^*	Min	Max
Épée	Pool	1236	982 - 1489	1180	1608
Épée	Direct elimination	1704	1314 - 2093	1677	1980
Foil	Pool	899	386 - 1411	804	899
Foil	Direct elimination	1689	883 - 2494	1689	1913

^* 95% confidence interval of the estimate (μ ± 2σ).

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Strength over time

Daily results are combined into one point. Dashed stretches indicate a less stable estimate.

Strength is a numeric summary of how a fencer has performed against other fencers over time.
The estimate usually settles after about 12 bouts, so early data can move sharply.
New fencers begin around 2500, but with high uncertainty.
Pools, direct eliminations, and mixed-gender bouts are tracked separately.
The scale runs from roughly 0 to 5000, with the average around 2500.
Beating much stronger fencers moves the estimate more than beating weaker ones.
Win probability reflects rating differences only, not style matchups or familiarity.
Per-bout changes are available in bout history.