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River City Rumble

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ORLOV Dmitriy - 2% 15% 42% 36% 5%
2 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria - 1% 15% 58% 26%
5 SHAH Suhani 1% 7% 25% 39% 25% 5%
6 SHEYNKMAN Leon - - - 3% 26% 71%
7 SEMP Brannon A. - 2% 16% 45% 37%
8 SEMP Iain - - 1% 14% 64% 22%
9 MOORHOUSE Emmett - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 2%
10 LEE Emily - - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
11 PRICE Owen - - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
12 HSIEH Sabrina 1% 7% 32% 46% 14% -
13 EATON David - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
14 SHANKS Aidan T. 2% 16% 41% 35% 6% -
15 HARTMAN Grayson 1% 9% 33% 39% 17% 2%
16 MILES Pam 11% 33% 36% 17% 3% -
17 HARSHAW Wyatt 3% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
18 MOELLER Virginia 9% 34% 38% 16% 3% -
19 ZIMSKY James 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
20 WITTKOWER Dylan 5% 28% 44% 20% 2%
21 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 7% 29% 40% 20% 3% -
22 MORRIS Luke 19% 51% 26% 4% -
23 TREADWAY Ella 40% 43% 15% 2% - -
24 SHANKS Jennifer 42% 44% 13% 1% -
25 KOKE Kristen 11% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
26 POOLE Katherine 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
27 ROUNTREE Andrew - 3% 14% 29% 32% 17% 4%
28 ALLEN Lily 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
29 BURNSIDE Caden 13% 50% 30% 7% 1% - -
30 WATTS Jason < 1% 9% 37% 40% 12% 1%
31 THOMAS Ryan 20% 42% 30% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.