River City Rumble

Div III Mixed Foil

Sunday, March 20, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 5%
2 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 SMIGRODZKI Nymeria 100% 100% 99% 84% 26%
5 SHAH Suhani 100% 99% 93% 68% 29% 5%
6 SHEYNKMAN Leon 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
7 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
8 SEMP Iain 100% 100% 100% 99% 85% 22%
9 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
10 LEE Emily 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
11 PRICE Owen 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
12 HSIEH Sabrina 100% 99% 92% 60% 14% -
13 EATON David 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
14 SHANKS Aidan T. 100% 98% 82% 41% 6% -
15 HARTMAN Grayson 100% 99% 90% 58% 19% 2%
16 MILES Pam 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
17 HARSHAW Wyatt 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 2% -
18 MOELLER Virginia 100% 91% 58% 19% 3% -
19 ZIMSKY James 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
20 WITTKOWER Dylan 100% 95% 67% 22% 2%
21 TOLENTINO SR. Francis 100% 93% 63% 24% 3% -
22 MORRIS Luke 100% 81% 30% 4% -
23 TREADWAY Ella 100% 60% 17% 2% - -
24 SHANKS Jennifer 100% 58% 14% 1% -
25 KOKE Kristen 100% 89% 54% 16% 2% -
26 POOLE Katherine 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
27 ROUNTREE Andrew 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
28 ALLEN Lily 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
29 BURNSIDE Caden 100% 87% 37% 7% 1% - -
30 WATTS Jason 100% 100% 91% 54% 14% 1%
31 THOMAS Ryan 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.