NEUSFA 2022 Pomme De Terre

Senior Men's Saber

Saturday, June 18, 2022 at 11:00 AM

Brandeis University - Waltham, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SHACHANIN Searhei	-	-	-	-	15%	84%
2	CHOI Hyunseok	-	-	-	6%	34%	59%
3	HARE John R.	-	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	29%
3	CALLAHAN Jaden P.	-	-	-	-	5%	29%	65%
5	GOLDMAN Noah R.	-	3%	16%	33%	33%	14%	1%
6	TRAVERS Samir T.	-	-	-	-	2%	19%	80%
7	MICHELL Bailey	-	1%	12%	39%	40%	8%
8	KIM Shaun M.	-	-	5%	23%	38%	27%	6%
9	TUPPER Edward A.	-	4%	27%	40%	23%	6%	1%
10	GONG Jerry	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	16%	1%
11	BAE Jason I.	1%	6%	23%	39%	28%	4%
12	HOFFMAN Timothy R.	-	-	8%	32%	39%	18%	3%
13	KAPOOR Tanmay	18%	40%	30%	10%	2%	-	-
14	SHANAHAN Adam E.	-	2%	18%	44%	31%	5%
15	RODRIGUEZ Darlin	-	-	7%	27%	38%	23%	4%
16	PENG Bryan	2%	16%	44%	35%	4%	-
17	BUENAVENTURA Christian	-	-	-	5%	30%	65%
18	DOLAN Charles R.	3%	22%	45%	25%	5%	-
19	RAI Avin	-	-	1%	16%	72%	11%
20	NG Jeremiah	-	3%	14%	32%	34%	15%	2%
21	PIWOWAR Alex	3%	20%	46%	29%	2%	-
22	SHAHZAD Azlan A.	6%	26%	38%	24%	6%	-
23	LO Alexander	-	1%	9%	28%	39%	21%	2%
24	MORALES Jonathan	1%	7%	23%	36%	26%	8%	-
25	HUANG Tom	5%	23%	37%	26%	7%	-
26	HUROWITZ Max	1%	10%	29%	36%	19%	4%	-
27	PANEPINTO HATTORI Fernando	15%	36%	32%	14%	3%	-	-
28	COUNTS Nicholas	14%	36%	33%	14%	3%	-	-
29	PERRON Robert	38%	43%	16%	2%	-	-
30	MUNGOVAN Matthew	40%	44%	15%	2%	-	-
31	MACGREGOR Colin D.	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
32	WEN Edward	12%	33%	35%	17%	3%	-
33	CHENG Brandon	3%	19%	38%	29%	9%	1%	-
34	CARTER Jackson	20%	40%	29%	10%	2%	-	-
35	BROGAN Kevin	24%	57%	17%	2%	-	-	-
36	BONDARENCO Vlad	2%	13%	32%	33%	16%	3%	-
37	LI Yao (Liam)	21%	48%	26%	4%	-	-
38	AVRAMIS Adam	24%	55%	19%	2%	-	-
39	PODDAR Shameek	62%	35%	3%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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