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Probability density of pool victories

Birth Year

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	SEIGEL Norah	-	-	-	-	4%	39%	57%
2	LIN Victoria T.	-	-	3%	13%	33%	37%	13%
3	LAO Sophia	-	5%	22%	37%	27%	7%	1%
3	RICHARDS Ella	-	1%	7%	26%	40%	23%	4%
5	VAYNBERG Ellen	-	2%	9%	25%	34%	24%	6%
6	MEYER Claudia	-	-	1%	6%	23%	42%	28%
7	LOGAN Jade	-	-	-	1%	15%	56%	27%
8	ZHOU Sophia	-	3%	15%	33%	33%	13%	2%
9	GAO Zhuning	-	-	1%	8%	27%	41%	22%
10	OLSEN Jen	-	-	-	3%	16%	43%	39%
11	SMIDA Julia	-	2%	9%	25%	35%	23%	6%
12	WEI Angela	-	-	2%	13%	34%	38%	13%
13	MURDOCH ROY Grace	1%	6%	20%	33%	28%	11%	2%
14	KYIJONG Tenzin	4%	19%	34%	28%	12%	2%	-
15	WANG Rachael	-	1%	5%	18%	33%	32%	12%
16	RIOS Jordan	-	7%	27%	37%	22%	6%	1%
17	HARROLD Sophia	1%	11%	35%	36%	15%	3%	-
18	GREENLEAF Ella	-	2%	12%	36%	40%	9%	-
19	SONPAL Vivian	2%	13%	29%	32%	18%	5%	1%
20	FRIEND Sophie	24%	42%	26%	7%	1%	-	-
21	COELHO Sofia	12%	35%	34%	15%	3%	-	-
22	ZHENG Ying	1%	13%	38%	36%	11%	1%	-
23	YEE Melania	10%	30%	35%	19%	5%	1%	-
24	POWLEDGE Cora	3%	18%	38%	32%	9%	1%	-
25	SAMKO Bern	-	1%	11%	32%	36%	17%	3%
25	LINDEN Lucienne	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	3%	-
27	PLOURDE Meghan E.	-	5%	23%	38%	26%	7%	-
28	MORIN Charlotte	3%	16%	33%	31%	14%	3%	-
29	LUNEAU Isabel	28%	47%	21%	3%	-	-	-
30	YOUNG Abigail	12%	32%	34%	17%	5%	1%	-
31	KOUZNETSKI Tais	5%	20%	33%	27%	12%	3%	-
32	FULLER Maybel	22%	43%	28%	7%	1%	-	-
33	LI Yixin Catherine	7%	28%	37%	22%	6%	1%	-
34	BURNHAM Sarah	46%	41%	12%	1%	-	-	-
35	WALMSLEY Rowan	21%	42%	28%	8%	1%	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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