Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, February 19, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - 1% 19% 79%
2 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 TZOU Alexandra - - - 1% 8% 36% 54%
3 KOVACS Sophia - - - 1% 10% 40% 49%
5 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. - - - - 4% 28% 68%
6 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - - 6% 34% 60%
7 MIKA Veronica - - 1% 8% 28% 43% 20%
8 CHIN Erika J. - 2% 11% 31% 39% 17%
9 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - - 4% 29% 66%
9 KIM Zoe - - - - 4% 31% 65%
9 CAO Stephanie X. - - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
12 FREEDMAN Janna N. - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
12 OLSEN Natalie J. - 1% 7% 27% 43% 23%
14 LI Amanda C. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
15 MARSEE Samantha - 1% 7% 26% 43% 24%
16 VESTEL Mira B. - 1% 9% 30% 41% 18%
17 LEE Alexandra B. - - - - 6% 34% 59%
18 GREENBAUM Ella K. - - 1% 8% 27% 41% 23%
18 SHOMAN Jenna - - - 2% 14% 42% 42%
20 VADASZ Ibla P. 1% 12% 32% 35% 17% 3%
21 KER Grace - - 1% 9% 32% 44% 14%
22 JULIEN Michelle - - 2% 11% 33% 41% 14%
23 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. - - - 4% 19% 42% 35%
24 HARRISON Imogen N. - - - 3% 16% 43% 38%
25 MOZHAEVA MARIA - - 1% 9% 33% 45% 12%
26 BEVACQUA Aria F. - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 6%
27 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - 5% 27% 47% 21%
28 ANDRES Katherine A. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
29 DUCKETT Madison - - 2% 16% 40% 36% 6%
30 ENDO Miyuki N. - 2% 14% 37% 33% 12% 2%
31 SHI Cathleen 1% 7% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
32 JUNG Irene - 2% 11% 29% 36% 19% 3%
33 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - - 3% 17% 43% 37%
34 YONG Erika E. - - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
35 FOUR-GARCIA Madison - - 2% 14% 43% 41%
36 TIMOFEYEV Nicole - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
37 GHAYALOD reya - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 7%
38 STONE Hava S. - - 2% 14% 39% 38% 8%
39 PAUL Lila - - 5% 23% 41% 27% 5%
40 CHIOLDI Mina - - 1% 7% 33% 48% 11%
41 XI Shining - 1% 7% 23% 37% 26% 6%
42 PAK Kaitlyn - - 1% 11% 39% 49%
43 LI Victoria J. - 4% 19% 39% 32% 7%
43 DANK Dina 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
45 CODY Alexandra C. - 2% 10% 28% 36% 20% 4%
46 WILLIAMS Chloe C. - - - 4% 19% 42% 34%
47 TAO Hannah J. - - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
48 GORMAN Victoria M. - - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
49 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. - - 5% 23% 43% 25% 3%
49 LEE Hannah - 1% 8% 30% 41% 19% 2%
51 NATH Trisha - 4% 26% 42% 24% 4% -
52 TONG Kunling - - 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
53 GEYER Carolina M. - 1% 7% 28% 40% 21% 3%
54 LIU Sophie - 9% 43% 36% 10% 1%
55 YANG Ashley M. 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
56 ALCEBAR Kayla - 7% 29% 40% 21% 4%
57 LIN Audrey J. - 2% 12% 32% 39% 15%
58 YUAN Greta - 5% 28% 43% 20% 3%
59 SATHYANATH Kailing - - 1% 8% 29% 44% 19%
60 BALAKUMARAN Maya 1% 6% 23% 36% 25% 8% 1%
61 SADIK HANA - 4% 26% 41% 23% 5% -
62 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 1% 7% 26% 40% 21% 4% -
63 LIGH Erenei J. 1% 12% 40% 36% 11% 1%
64 BLUM Leah I. - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
65 JOHNSON Lauren - - 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
66 GUTHIKONDA Nithya - - - 3% 16% 44% 38%
67 OISHI Megumi - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
68 PRIEUR Lauren - 1% 7% 27% 41% 21% 3%
69 BARNOVITZ Maya 1% 12% 33% 35% 16% 3% -
70 BOIS Adele - 1% 10% 37% 40% 12%
71 MARYASH Samantha 16% 43% 32% 8% 1% -
72 NATHANSON Sammy E. - 1% 6% 27% 45% 20% 2%
73 LU Elaine - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
74 TONG Jessie 1% 13% 40% 34% 11% 1% -
75 HU Michelle - 10% 36% 37% 15% 2% -
76 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. - - 4% 17% 36% 33% 10%
77 LEE Sophia - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
78 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - 5% 23% 38% 26% 6% 1%
79 SZETO Chloe - - 2% 13% 37% 38% 11%
80 NYSTROM Sofia C. - 1% 13% 35% 36% 13% 1%
81 ATLURI Sara V. - 6% 22% 38% 26% 7% 1%
82 ERIKSON Kira R. - 5% 23% 37% 26% 8% 1%
83 ZUO Xiaofan - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
84 ISBERG Natalie 1% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
85 LU Amy - 1% 9% 29% 39% 20% 3%
86 TSE Angelina 1% 6% 23% 39% 26% 6%
87 JEONG Katie 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
88 HWANG Gabriela M. - 6% 27% 40% 23% 4%
89 LUKASHENKO Angelina - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
90 YANG Angelina LeLe - 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2%
91 FEARNS Zara A. - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
92 KIM Marley I. - 1% 10% 33% 40% 15% 1%
93 XU Ellen - - 3% 16% 38% 37% 6%
94 FANG Victoria W. - 2% 12% 32% 36% 16% 2%
94 CALLAHAN Chase J. - - 4% 19% 39% 31% 6%
96 NGUYEN Ella 2% 14% 38% 34% 11% 1% -
97 NOVICK Mia J. - 3% 21% 40% 28% 7% -
98 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. - 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
98 SHEARER Natalie E. - 4% 17% 34% 31% 12% 2%
98 DAVIS Jayna M. 5% 23% 37% 25% 8% 1% -
101 WEI Vivian W. - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9% 1%
102 NGUYEN Siena 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
102 DENG Brooke 1% 21% 39% 28% 9% 1% -
104 HUANG MADELINE 4% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
105 HUNG Anna 1% 10% 30% 36% 18% 3% -
106 HURST Kennedy - 4% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
107 HILD Nisha - 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7%
108 ZENG Megan 2% 21% 41% 28% 7% - -
109 BUHAY Rachel T. 1% 8% 32% 43% 15% 1%
110 KRASTEV Minna - 1% 15% 42% 35% 8%
111 CHANG Emily - 6% 25% 39% 25% 5%
112 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 2% 15% 37% 35% 10%
113 CHIN Sophia J. 1% 11% 33% 37% 16% 2%
114 JOHNSON Lydia 39% 42% 16% 3% - -
115 SINHA Anika 3% 19% 39% 30% 9% 1%
116 DILLE Carolina G. 13% 40% 34% 11% 2% -
117 CHIN Elise 3% 18% 35% 29% 11% 2% -
118 NEIBART Fiona - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
119 LUKER Sophia - 8% 35% 39% 16% 2% -
120 FERREIRA Alejandra E. - 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% -
121 WANG Zidan 4% 24% 39% 26% 7% 1% -
122 FAN Grace 11% 34% 35% 16% 4% - -
123 HE Lizbeth - 5% 25% 41% 24% 5% -
124 KHAN Alissa - 7% 33% 40% 17% 2% -
125 YANG Lea 7% 28% 38% 22% 5% 1% -
126 LIN Nicole 16% 41% 31% 10% 2% - -
127 MULAGARI Sadhika 7% 46% 36% 10% 1% - -
128 CHANG Audrey 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
129 CHIANG Emily 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
130 COLTER Aurora 15% 37% 33% 13% 3% - -
131 SU Emma - 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
132 MANN Sophia J. 21% 49% 25% 5% - -
133 YERRAMILLI Kavya 5% 27% 43% 21% 3% -
134 BILILIES Sophia - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1%
135 KANTIPUDI Shrika 2% 18% 40% 31% 8% 1% -
136 DAVIS Charlotte 10% 47% 32% 9% 1% - -
137 SCHOEW Margot 24% 46% 24% 5% - - -
138 NAYAK Indra - 11% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
139 MANSPERGER Leena - 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
140 JOHNSON Dagny L. - 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
141 MORAN Rhea 33% 47% 18% 2% - - -
142 FANG sophie 12% 45% 32% 9% 1% - -
143 TUNG Renee 39% 43% 15% 2% - -
144 LIU Sydney 13% 52% 29% 6% - -
145 CHANG Josephine S. - 1% 9% 36% 48% 7%
146 SOWERS Lia 38% 44% 16% 2% - -
147 CHEN Celina Z. 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
148 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 13% 36% 35% 14% 2% -
149 ADAMS Morrigan B. 18% 40% 30% 10% 1% -
150 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 23% 57% 18% 2% - -
151 BAKER Amelia M. 35% 43% 18% 3% - - -
152 TSAI Anna A. 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
153 WHITESIDES Abigail E. 2% 41% 41% 14% 2% - -
154 WU Lanting 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1% -
154 SCHIKORE Anna M. 2% 23% 42% 27% 6% - -
154 LEE Lauren 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
157 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 4% 24% 45% 23% 5% - -
157 CHEN Kevy 16% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
159 PYO Penelope E. 10% 48% 33% 9% 1% - -
160 BARRIE Sadie Q. 29% 44% 22% 5% - - -
160 LOMOTAN Addison 26% 47% 23% 4% - - -
162 CHEN Xinyan 1% 8% 28% 38% 20% 4% -
163 ZOLLER Noelle 9% 32% 39% 17% 3% - -
164 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 22% 43% 28% 7% 1% - -
164 BOLTON Eleksi M. 5% 30% 39% 20% 5% - -
164 TODD Peregrine 3% 51% 36% 9% 1% - -
167 CHO Michelle 12% 56% 27% 5% - - -
168 ELNATAN Mica A. 19% 42% 30% 8% 1% - -
169 IYER Arushi 66% 30% 4% - - - -
170 REGANTI Sitara 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
171 GEIGER Abigail 17% 42% 31% 9% 1% - -
172 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 24% 45% 25% 6% 1% -
173 NAYAK Mira 46% 42% 11% 1% - -
173 LIAO Siwen 9% 34% 36% 17% 3% -
175 GRULICH Rayaana 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
176 HOLMES Sabrina 87% 13% 1% - - - -
177 FERGUSON Aliya 66% 30% 4% - - -
178 RODGERS Rachel 67% 29% 4% - - - -
178 MEHTA Mary 75% 23% 1% - - - -
180 ABDULLAHI Salma 30% 45% 21% 4% - - -
180 CHEN Athena 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
182 FREY Sarah E. 60% 36% 4% - - -
183 CARTER Keely 64% 30% 5% - - - -
183 FAYETTE Mathilde 90% 9% - - - - -
183 MCCOY Audrey (Zoe) 70% 27% 3% - - - -
186 BURTON Sequoia 77% 22% 2% - - - -
187 NEWMARK Ellie 60% 34% 5% - - - -
188 BODILY Grace 92% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.