Junior Olympic Championships

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, February 19, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
2 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
3 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
3 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
5 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68%
6 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 60%
7 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 20%
8 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
9 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
9 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
9 CAO Stephanie X. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
12 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
12 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 23%
14 LI Amanda C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
15 MARSEE Samantha 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
16 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 18%
17 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 59%
18 GREENBAUM Ella K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
18 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
20 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 99% 87% 55% 20% 3%
21 KER Grace 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 14%
22 JULIEN Michelle 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 55% 14%
23 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
24 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
25 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 12%
26 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 6%
27 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 21%
28 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
29 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 42% 6%
30 ENDO Miyuki N. 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 14% 2%
31 SHI Cathleen 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
32 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 23% 3%
33 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 37%
34 YONG Erika E. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
35 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
36 TIMOFEYEV Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
37 GHAYALOD reya 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
38 STONE Hava S. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 8%
39 PAUL Lila 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 32% 5%
40 CHIOLDI Mina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 11%
41 XI Shining 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
42 PAK Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
43 LI Victoria J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 7%
43 DANK Dina 100% 99% 88% 54% 17% 2%
45 CODY Alexandra C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
46 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 34%
47 TAO Hannah J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
48 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 12%
49 ZIELINSKI Isabella G. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 28% 3%
49 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 21% 2%
51 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
52 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 23%
53 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 24% 3%
54 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 90% 47% 11% 1%
55 YANG Ashley M. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 3%
56 ALCEBAR Kayla 100% 100% 93% 64% 24% 4%
57 LIN Audrey J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
58 YUAN Greta 100% 100% 95% 66% 23% 3%
59 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
60 BALAKUMARAN Maya 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 9% 1%
61 SADIK HANA 100% 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
62 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 4% -
63 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 99% 88% 47% 12% 1%
64 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
65 JOHNSON Lauren 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 12%
66 GUTHIKONDA Nithya 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
67 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
68 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
69 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 99% 87% 54% 19% 3% -
70 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 12%
71 MARYASH Samantha 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% -
72 NATHANSON Sammy E. 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21% 2%
73 LU Elaine 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
74 TONG Jessie 100% 99% 86% 46% 13% 2% -
75 HU Michelle 100% 100% 90% 54% 17% 2% -
76 SCALAMONI-GOLDSTEIN Charlotte S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 10%
77 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
78 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 7% 1%
79 SZETO Chloe 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 11%
80 NYSTROM Sofia C. 100% 100% 99% 86% 51% 14% 1%
81 ATLURI Sara V. 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 8% 1%
82 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 95% 72% 34% 9% 1%
83 ZUO Xiaofan 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
84 ISBERG Natalie 100% 99% 84% 50% 16% 2% -
85 LU Amy 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 3%
86 TSE Angelina 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 6%
87 JEONG Katie 100% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
88 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 94% 67% 27% 4%
89 LUKASHENKO Angelina 100% 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 3%
90 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
91 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 13%
92 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 1%
93 XU Ellen 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
94 FANG Victoria W. 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
94 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 6%
96 NGUYEN Ella 100% 98% 84% 47% 13% 2% -
97 NOVICK Mia J. 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
98 ULIBARRI Nevaeh L. 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
98 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 14% 2%
98 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
101 WEI Vivian W. 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% 1%
102 NGUYEN Siena 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
102 DENG Brooke 100% 99% 77% 39% 11% 1% -
104 HUANG MADELINE 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
105 HUNG Anna 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 4% -
106 HURST Kennedy 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
107 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
108 ZENG Megan 100% 98% 76% 35% 7% 1% -
109 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 99% 91% 59% 16% 1%
110 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 99% 84% 42% 8%
111 CHANG Emily 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
112 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 10%
113 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2%
114 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 61% 19% 3% - -
115 SINHA Anika 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
116 DILLE Carolina G. 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% -
117 CHIN Elise 100% 97% 78% 43% 14% 2% -
118 NEIBART Fiona 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
119 LUKER Sophia 100% 100% 92% 57% 18% 3% -
120 FERREIRA Alejandra E. 100% 100% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
121 WANG Zidan 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
122 FAN Grace 100% 89% 55% 20% 4% - -
123 HE Lizbeth 100% 100% 95% 70% 29% 5% -
124 KHAN Alissa 100% 100% 93% 60% 20% 2% -
125 YANG Lea 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
126 LIN Nicole 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
127 MULAGARI Sadhika 100% 93% 47% 11% 1% - -
128 CHANG Audrey 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
129 CHIANG Emily 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 7% 1%
130 COLTER Aurora 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% - -
131 SU Emma 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 7% 1%
132 MANN Sophia J. 100% 79% 30% 5% - -
133 YERRAMILLI Kavya 100% 95% 68% 24% 3% -
134 BILILIES Sophia 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
135 KANTIPUDI Shrika 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1% -
136 DAVIS Charlotte 100% 90% 42% 10% 1% - -
137 SCHOEW Margot 100% 76% 30% 6% - - -
138 NAYAK Indra 100% 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
139 MANSPERGER Leena 100% 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
140 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1%
141 MORAN Rhea 100% 67% 20% 2% - - -
142 FANG sophie 100% 88% 43% 11% 1% - -
143 TUNG Renee 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
144 LIU Sydney 100% 87% 35% 6% - -
145 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 99% 90% 55% 7%
146 SOWERS Lia 100% 62% 17% 2% - -
147 CHEN Celina Z. 100% 74% 30% 6% 1% -
148 SLOBODSKY Sasha L. 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% -
149 ADAMS Morrigan B. 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
150 ZHIZHIN Jeanette 100% 77% 19% 2% - -
151 BAKER Amelia M. 100% 65% 21% 4% - - -
152 TSAI Anna A. 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% - -
153 WHITESIDES Abigail E. 100% 98% 56% 16% 2% - -
154 WU Lanting 100% 93% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
154 SCHIKORE Anna M. 100% 98% 75% 33% 6% - -
154 LEE Lauren 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
157 CHAPMAN-LAYLAND Astrid M. 100% 96% 73% 28% 5% - -
157 CHEN Kevy 100% 84% 46% 13% 2% - -
159 PYO Penelope E. 100% 90% 43% 9% 1% - -
160 BARRIE Sadie Q. 100% 71% 27% 5% - - -
160 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 74% 27% 5% - - -
162 CHEN Xinyan 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4% -
163 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% - -
164 D'ORAZIO Sofia V. 100% 78% 35% 8% 1% - -
164 BOLTON Eleksi M. 100% 95% 65% 25% 5% - -
164 TODD Peregrine 100% 97% 46% 10% 1% - -
167 CHO Michelle 100% 88% 32% 5% - - -
168 ELNATAN Mica A. 100% 81% 39% 9% 1% - -
169 IYER Arushi 100% 34% 4% - - - -
170 REGANTI Sitara 100% 67% 25% 5% - - -
171 GEIGER Abigail 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% - -
172 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 76% 31% 6% 1% -
173 NAYAK Mira 100% 54% 12% 1% - -
173 LIAO Siwen 100% 91% 57% 21% 4% -
175 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
176 HOLMES Sabrina 100% 13% 1% - - - -
177 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 34% 4% - - -
178 RODGERS Rachel 100% 33% 5% - - - -
178 MEHTA Mary 100% 25% 1% - - - -
180 ABDULLAHI Salma 100% 70% 25% 4% - - -
180 CHEN Athena 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
182 FREY Sarah E. 100% 40% 4% - - -
183 CARTER Keely 100% 36% 6% - - - -
183 FAYETTE Mathilde 100% 10% - - - - -
183 MCCOY Audrey (Zoe) 100% 30% 3% - - - -
186 BURTON Sequoia 100% 23% 2% - - - -
187 NEWMARK Ellie 100% 40% 6% - - - -
188 BODILY Grace 100% 8% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.