The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Ben Gutenberg Memorial SYC/RCC/VET

Cadet Women's Saber

Friday, March 18, 2022 at 4:00 PM

Sports Events Recreation Center - The SERC - Brockport, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HILD Nisha - - - 2% 13% 39% 45%
2 MCKEE Brynnley 1% 7% 27% 44% 22%
3 FESTA Carina 1% 7% 26% 39% 23% 5%
3 CHEN Ashley - 3% 13% 32% 36% 16%
5 NATH Trisha - - 5% 24% 45% 27%
6 JEONG Katie - - 5% 24% 44% 26%
7 MARYASH Samantha - 5% 20% 35% 30% 10%
8 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 5% 22% 43% 30%
9 KHAN Alissa - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
10 MAKLIN Sofia - 6% 25% 44% 25%
11 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 2% 12% 28% 32% 19% 5% -
12 MUND Ruth - 5% 24% 41% 25% 5%
13 CHIARELLI Valentina - 2% 13% 35% 37% 13%
14 WU Helen - - 6% 28% 44% 21%
15 ZENG Sarah 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 8% 1%
16 LIU Yifei 14% 38% 34% 12% 2%
17 LOPEZ-ONA Mia 1% 12% 38% 36% 12% 1%
18 MERCHANT Aishwarya 5% 29% 42% 20% 3%
19 FAN Grace 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 9% 1%
20 ZHANG Sophie 1% 8% 23% 33% 25% 8% 1%
21 NAYAK Esha - 3% 23% 42% 26% 5%
22 CHAVAN Arya 9% 33% 38% 17% 3% -
23 LAGOON Miriam 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
24 CHIANG Melissa 16% 37% 32% 13% 3% -
25 MYAT Chloe 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
26 WEI JoyAnn 3% 15% 33% 32% 15% 3%
27 MAGITSKY Leila 48% 42% 9% 1% - -
28 YU Zhiang 6% 22% 34% 26% 11% 2% -
29 CHAN Madeleine V. 8% 34% 39% 16% 3% -
29 MARGULIAN Maria 13% 38% 34% 13% 2% -
31 ATTIA Jasmine 34% 43% 19% 3% - -
32 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
33 CHAMPAGNE Valentine 31% 45% 20% 3% -
34 ZHENG Ziqi (Jessie) 23% 50% 23% 4% - -
35 LOO Kaitlyn 11% 31% 34% 19% 5% 1% -
36 XU Demi 35% 43% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.