Post April Fools Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Davis Fencing Academy - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROJAS PINERO Jorge Luis - - - 3% 18% 47% 32%
2 FULTON Richard - 1% 8% 38% 54%
3 PATINO Yahir - - 4% 23% 45% 28%
3 LIM Charles - 5% 28% 50% 18%
6 FINNEY Lorenz - 3% 17% 40% 32% 8%
7 SMITH Grant 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% -
8 PATTERSON Natalia 15% 45% 32% 8% -
9 TON Kalista 3% 21% 43% 27% 6%
10 FRANK Lauren - 7% 27% 38% 22% 5% -
11 LIANG Zixuan - 3% 24% 40% 26% 7% 1%
12 PEGRAM Rafferty - - 7% 38% 55%
13 REICHEL Ezra 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% -
14 CRACRAFT John 1% 10% 39% 46% 6%
15 ZHANG Jiening (Jason) - 2% 11% 29% 36% 20% 2%
17 LIU Aaron 16% 50% 28% 5% -
18 CASTILLO Jonas 3% 16% 37% 33% 10% 1%
19 MAZZA Daniel 3% 23% 50% 22% 2%
20 KOSAI Jordyn 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2%
21 RAMIREZ Jordan 55% 38% 7% - -
22 PERGERSON Cole 15% 40% 34% 10% 1% -
24 EBERHART Ava 15% 43% 32% 9% 1% - -
25 ARREDONDO Katrina 47% 41% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.