Post April Fools Tournament

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, April 2, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Davis Fencing Academy - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ROJAS PINERO Jorge Luis 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
2 FULTON Richard 100% 100% 99% 92% 54%
3 PATINO Yahir 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
3 LIM Charles 100% 100% 95% 67% 18%
6 FINNEY Lorenz 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 8%
7 SMITH Grant 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
8 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 85% 40% 8% -
9 TON Kalista 100% 97% 76% 33% 6%
10 FRANK Lauren 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
11 LIANG Zixuan 100% 100% 97% 73% 33% 7% 1%
12 PEGRAM Rafferty 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
13 REICHEL Ezra 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
14 CRACRAFT John 100% 99% 90% 51% 6%
15 ZHANG Jiening (Jason) 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 21% 2%
17 LIU Aaron 100% 84% 34% 5% -
18 CASTILLO Jonas 100% 97% 81% 44% 11% 1%
19 MAZZA Daniel 100% 97% 74% 24% 2%
20 KOSAI Jordyn 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
21 RAMIREZ Jordan 100% 45% 7% - -
22 PERGERSON Cole 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
24 EBERHART Ava 100% 85% 42% 10% 1% - -
25 ARREDONDO Katrina 100% 53% 11% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.