W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Open 2022

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 11:30 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CONVERSE Warren D. - 3% 15% 35% 35% 12%
2 RUBAN Misha - - - 2% 15% 41% 42%
3 GOLART Alexis A. 11% 38% 34% 14% 3% - -
3 SCHAPIRO Jacob 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1%
5 COUGHLIN Nolan E. - - 4% 21% 41% 29% 4%
6 HERMES Henry 2% 17% 39% 31% 10% 1%
7 ZALEWSKI David 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 8%
8 FORMY DUVAL Christopher - - 2% 14% 40% 36% 9%
9 POWERS Meredith R. - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
10 RUESTA Daniel A. - 5% 24% 39% 26% 6%
11 DREHER Matthew 1% 8% 26% 37% 24% 6%
12 RICHARDSON Katie R. - 8% 40% 38% 12% 1% -
13 ANDERSON Alena 1% 11% 38% 41% 8% 1% -
14 MEARS Caleb 8% 28% 36% 22% 6% 1%
15 REN Yunyan (Tina) 46% 40% 12% 2% - - -
16 HUNTER Kingsley 9% 34% 38% 16% 2% -
17 GREEAR Colin 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
18 MANN Scott 1% 7% 25% 38% 24% 4%
19 SMITH Gwyneth 12% 37% 35% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.