W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Open 2022

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 26, 2022 at 11:30 AM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
2 RUBAN Misha 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 GOLART Alexis A. 100% 89% 51% 17% 3% - -
3 SCHAPIRO Jacob 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1%
5 COUGHLIN Nolan E. 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 34% 4%
6 HERMES Henry 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1%
7 ZALEWSKI David 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
8 FORMY DUVAL Christopher 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9%
9 POWERS Meredith R. 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 8%
10 RUESTA Daniel A. 100% 100% 95% 71% 32% 6%
11 DREHER Matthew 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 6%
12 RICHARDSON Katie R. 100% 100% 92% 52% 13% 1% -
13 ANDERSON Alena 100% 99% 88% 50% 8% 1% -
14 MEARS Caleb 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
15 REN Yunyan (Tina) 100% 54% 14% 2% - - -
16 HUNTER Kingsley 100% 91% 56% 18% 3% -
17 GREEAR Colin 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1%
18 MANN Scott 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
19 SMITH Gwyneth 100% 88% 51% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.