William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | GALEMORE Jonathan | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | FORMY DUVAL Christopher | D D V V V | V V V V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 3 | SEMP Iain | V V V D | V V V D | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 3 | MOORHOUSE Emmett | V V D V V | V V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 5 | SMIGRODZKI Nymeria | V V V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 5 | PRICE Owen | V V V V | V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 7 | MAHNKEN Thomas G. | V V V D V | V V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 8 | HAYES Nathan P. | V V D V V | V V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 9 | EDRALIN Alexander Jordan Q. | V D V V V | V D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 10 | MAHNKEN Thomas P. | V V V D V | V D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 11 | ROBERTS Zachary | D V V V | V D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 12 | EDRALIN II Chadwick Q. | V D V D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 13 | REEDER Nicholas W. | D V D V | V D | 0.7 | 2 | +1.3 |
| 14 | MILES Pam | D V V D D | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 15 | ROUNTREE Andrew | V V D D D | V D | 3.4 | 2 | -1.4 |
| 16 | KASPER Lucia | D D V D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 17 | FERGUSON Sam C. | D D V V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 18 | OGLE Ian | V V D V D | D | 3.3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| 19 | MEARS Caleb | V D D V D | D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 20 | THOMAS Ryan | D D V D V | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 21 | PAQUETTE Emily | D D V V D | D | 2.6 | 2 | -0.6 |
| 22 | UHRICH Reese | V D D D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 23 | DELANNES-MOLKA Daniel | D V D D D | D | 0.9 | 1 | +0.1 |
| 24 | HILL Ian | D D D D D | D | 2.4 | 0 | -2.4 |
| 25 | KRONAUGE Andersen | D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 26 | CRUM Elayne | D D D D D | D | 1.3 | 0 | -1.3 |
| 27 | WILSON Reagan Ophelia | D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 28 | BURNSIDE Caden | D D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.