CFFA Stab-a-thon

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, May 28, 2022 at 3:30 PM

Tileston Gym - Wilmington, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DAVIS Mitchell 100% 100% 94% 66% 25% 3%
2 HUTH Trevor 100% 100% 91% 53% 13%
3 GUEVARRA Gabriel (Gabe) W. 100% 100% 96% 76% 34%
3 AMOROSO John 100% 96% 74% 33% 5%
5 JOSEPH William 100% 100% 96% 66% 14%
6 KRUPENKO Sabrina R. 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
7 GUEVARRA Isabelle C. 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
8 CAMPBELL Justin 100% 100% 98% 81% 35%
9 TSAI Caleb 100% 85% 45% 12% 1%
10 SCHMIDT Victoria 100% 100% 93% 62% 19%
11 CRAWFORD Charles (Marston) M. 100% 100% 92% 57% 15% 1%
12 HOPEL Seth 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 11%
13 MILES Greyson 100% 40% 7% 1% - -
14 TART Jackson 100% 90% 47% 11% 1%
15 RATTANA Anushawn 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
16 ZELINSKI A B. 100% 89% 56% 19% 2%
17 ODEA Ryan 100% 93% 64% 23% 2%
18 FRALEY Jefferson 100% 96% 71% 28% 5% -
19 ARELLANO Andres 100% 96% 71% 28% 3%
20 FERRARO Nicholas 100% 62% 17% 2% -
21 THU John 100% 58% 14% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.