Results of Y-12 Men's Épée - Integrity Cup RYC & ROC (DV2)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 22, 2022 at 12:00 PM

New Jersey City University - John Moore Athletic Center - Jersey City, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	TRULL A.J.	100%	100%	100%	99%	92%	59%
2	MAO Benjamin	100%	100%	100%	99%	94%	74%	33%
3	LIU Adam	100%	100%	98%	86%	58%	23%	4%
3	CHEN Leonardo	100%	100%	95%	73%	31%	5%
5	KANG Brandon	100%	98%	87%	59%	25%	5%	-
6	FENG shang	100%	100%	99%	89%	59%	19%
7	NORMILE Nicholas	100%	100%	97%	84%	55%	21%	3%
8	LONG Kevin	100%	87%	51%	17%	3%	-
9	MIDYANY Evan	100%	99%	89%	64%	29%	6%
10	DEGRUCCIO Johnny	100%	96%	78%	45%	15%	2%
11	BYRON Max	100%	94%	72%	37%	11%	1%
12	PAN Anthony	100%	97%	79%	43%	12%	1%
13	NILSEN Mark	100%	98%	86%	55%	21%	4%	-
14	JAYME Antonio	100%	99%	87%	54%	18%	2%
15	NOVOJILOV Daniel	100%	96%	78%	45%	15%	2%
16	MUKHERJEE Advik	100%	99%	89%	59%	21%	2%
17	DOUBOV Andrew	100%	100%	95%	74%	35%	7%
18	WUNDER Eli	100%	99%	87%	56%	19%	2%
19	CHEN Jayden	100%	91%	63%	28%	7%	1%
20	ZHAO Pierce	100%	80%	38%	10%	1%	-
21	SINGLETON Aman	100%	100%	96%	80%	47%	13%
22	LUR'YE Killian	100%	84%	46%	15%	3%	-	-
23	NOOL Alexander	100%	81%	40%	10%	1%	-
24	STEIN Henry	100%	79%	38%	9%	1%	-
25	KHANNA Zoraver	100%	90%	59%	26%	6%	1%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.

The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.

The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.

By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

Integrity Cup RYC & ROC (DV2)

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, May 22, 2022 at 12:00 PM

Probability density of pool victories

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Explanation