Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI JoyAnn - - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
2 LIU Yifei - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
3 STONE Coral - 4% 18% 35% 32% 11%
3 KURAEVA Vasilisa - - 5% 23% 42% 29%
5 DHAR Layla - - 5% 22% 44% 29%
6 FERNANDEZ Martina - 3% 15% 35% 35% 13%
7 HAMMERSTROM Aria - 6% 24% 39% 26% 5%
8 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 3% 15% 37% 38% 8%
9 WANG Callie - 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4%
10 MERCHANT Aishwarya - - 3% 17% 42% 38%
10 CHIARELLI Valentina - - 1% 7% 35% 57%
12 BLAKE Anna - 1% 11% 35% 39% 14%
13 CROOKS Riley - 6% 24% 39% 25% 5%
14 BERNARD Kathryn 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7%
15 CHAVAN Arya - 2% 11% 34% 39% 14%
16 FOSS Persephone - 3% 18% 39% 32% 8%
17 FAN Alexandria - 5% 22% 40% 27% 6%
18 LEE Tammy 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
19 FUNG Iris - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8%
20 XIONG Alina - 4% 19% 38% 31% 8%
21 DAVIDOVA Kira 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
22 NADKARNI Marisa 1% 18% 38% 31% 11% 1%
23 LEE Alyson 1% 15% 37% 33% 12% 2%
24 MERMEGAS Olivia - 8% 29% 38% 20% 4%
25 DHAR Rana 3% 19% 41% 29% 8% 1%
26 TA-ZHOU Emma 8% 30% 39% 20% 4% -
27 CHANG Norah 5% 28% 40% 22% 5% -
28 DAMBAL Sasha - 1% 10% 28% 35% 21% 5%
29 WENG Amber 9% 41% 35% 13% 2% - -
30 CASTELO Soleil 2% 14% 35% 36% 13% 1%
31 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
32 WANG Emily 35% 44% 18% 3% - -
33 CROMPTON Celine 2% 13% 34% 35% 15% 2%
34 KU Alathea-Joy - 5% 22% 36% 26% 9% 1%
35 CHOI Charlotte 19% 46% 28% 6% 1% -
36 YANG Shanzhen 39% 44% 15% 2% - -
37 WANG JiaQi 15% 40% 32% 11% 2% -
38 ZHANG Ashley 5% 28% 41% 21% 5% -
39 LIANG Claire 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
39 POWERS Langley 54% 37% 8% 1% - -
41 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4%
41 FLEEGER Sophia 80% 19% 2% - - -
43 FORTIN Emily 64% 31% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.