Fairfax Challenge SYC/RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Friday, May 13, 2022 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
2 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 STONE Coral 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
3 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 29%
5 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
6 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 13%
7 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 5%
8 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 8%
9 WANG Callie 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
10 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 38%
10 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
12 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 14%
13 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 5%
14 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7%
15 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
16 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 97% 79% 40% 8%
17 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 95% 73% 33% 6%
18 LEE Tammy 100% 73% 31% 6% 1% -
19 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8%
20 XIONG Alina 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
21 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
22 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 99% 81% 43% 12% 1%
23 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 84% 47% 14% 2%
24 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 91% 62% 24% 4%
25 DHAR Rana 100% 97% 79% 38% 9% 1%
26 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
27 CHANG Norah 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
28 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
29 WENG Amber 100% 91% 50% 15% 3% - -
30 CASTELO Soleil 100% 98% 84% 50% 14% 1%
31 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
32 WANG Emily 100% 65% 21% 3% - -
33 CROMPTON Celine 100% 98% 85% 52% 17% 2%
34 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 11% 1%
35 CHOI Charlotte 100% 81% 35% 7% 1% -
36 YANG Shanzhen 100% 61% 18% 2% - -
37 WANG JiaQi 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% -
38 ZHANG Ashley 100% 95% 67% 26% 5% -
39 LIANG Claire 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
39 POWERS Langley 100% 46% 9% 1% - -
41 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4%
41 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 20% 2% - - -
43 FORTIN Emily 100% 36% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.